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Forums - Sony - Sony Q4 and FY 2011 : PS3 1.9m shipped - PSV 1.8m lifetime.

NotStan said:
theprof00 said:
NotStan said:

Price cuts are not designed to increase sales but to combat slowing sales. Overstocked is a likely scenario given the timing of announcement.

They're not pulling it out of their asses either. It is a brilliant strategy to also make it look like their live subscriptions are increasing. Remember this is only a limited time coupon. http://content.microsoftstore.com/store/xblive2yr-offer/

Use your mafia head. Why would MS offer this deal only for a limited time, only as a coupon, and only at MS stores. Apparently no other retailer ordered too much stock (or they would've dropped price), and no tracking company knows where the other shipments are. MS made it a goal to be #1 last year, shipped. Do you think, possibly, in any way, they might have over-ordered their own product in order to beat out the competition in shipments, and now have too much stock and are subsequently "dropping" the price?

Which stores were offering these 199$ ps3s? I was only aware of gamestop. There was some 199$ during Christmas, but that's to be expected. I'm talkign about recently.

Now now, that's just going way too much into detail, so you're saying that MS is currently sitting on about ~1M xbox's in their warehouses because they purposely overshipped just to appear better in their financial results? Don't you think that's a bit far fetched? After all this is a company that was not prepared to sacrifice profits for the last 3 years and didn't bother announcing an official price cut, if anyone Sony would be capable of doing something like that, with the numerous price cuts and increased marketing effort that has been happening the last few years, pushing much harder in an attempt to achieve higher shipments than the competition. It's a far fetched theory that unfortunately doesn't hold much weight as it would be out of character.

Amazon pricematched them I believe, in UK sainsbury's, tesco, morrison's etc often have sales on PS3 too, about £159 - like £30 or so under RRP.

It could be a combination of reasons. Like for instance, MS loses money by selling consoles to retailers instead of selling consoles themselves. I don't think they overstocked by 1M, but several hundred thousand is very reasonable, and perhaps this was planned all along, so they purposely over produced and overshipped this past quarter. Who knows the exact details? What we do know is the facts.

-fact1: MS shipped numbers are higher than any sales tracking firm, ANY
-fact2: Nobody knows where these consoles are
-fact3: No retailer has dropped price, which would indicate overstock
-fact4: MS is having a psuedo price drop
-fact5: It is "for a limited time"



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theprof00 said:
zhao3gold said:
How ridiculous someone here said $99 Xbox with subscription fee is MS trying to sell their over-stocked 360. The purpose of this is testing if this kind of business can be suitable for gaming industry and perhaps implent in the next gen.

I really don't understand the posts from those anti-xbox fans.

I think it's a very logical solution to the question of "if 360 is undertracked, then where are the consoles".

MS said they would be #1 shipped. They came close. And now we think there are nearly 1.5m+ on shelves. But where are those consoles? Nobody is reporting overstock or having a price drop....that is, nobody is having a price drop except MS stores. Don't tell me you don't think that's strange. I mean, c'mon.

Sure maybe it isn't the solution, but it is a logical one. And for you to just dispute a theory without giving any real argument, especially not anything logical, well...that's just typical, isn't it.





theprof00 said:
NotStan said:
theprof00 said:
NotStan said:

Price cuts are not designed to increase sales but to combat slowing sales. Overstocked is a likely scenario given the timing of announcement.

They're not pulling it out of their asses either. It is a brilliant strategy to also make it look like their live subscriptions are increasing. Remember this is only a limited time coupon. http://content.microsoftstore.com/store/xblive2yr-offer/

Use your mafia head. Why would MS offer this deal only for a limited time, only as a coupon, and only at MS stores. Apparently no other retailer ordered too much stock (or they would've dropped price), and no tracking company knows where the other shipments are. MS made it a goal to be #1 last year, shipped. Do you think, possibly, in any way, they might have over-ordered their own product in order to beat out the competition in shipments, and now have too much stock and are subsequently "dropping" the price?

Which stores were offering these 199$ ps3s? I was only aware of gamestop. There was some 199$ during Christmas, but that's to be expected. I'm talkign about recently.

Now now, that's just going way too much into detail, so you're saying that MS is currently sitting on about ~1M xbox's in their warehouses because they purposely overshipped just to appear better in their financial results? Don't you think that's a bit far fetched? After all this is a company that was not prepared to sacrifice profits for the last 3 years and didn't bother announcing an official price cut, if anyone Sony would be capable of doing something like that, with the numerous price cuts and increased marketing effort that has been happening the last few years, pushing much harder in an attempt to achieve higher shipments than the competition. It's a far fetched theory that unfortunately doesn't hold much weight as it would be out of character.

Amazon pricematched them I believe, in UK sainsbury's, tesco, morrison's etc often have sales on PS3 too, about £159 - like £30 or so under RRP.

It could be a combination of reasons. Like for instance, MS loses money by selling consoles to retailers instead of selling consoles themselves. I don't think they overstocked by 1M, but several hundred thousand is very reasonable, and perhaps this was planned all along, so they purposely over produced and overshipped this past quarter. Who knows the exact details? What we do know is the facts.

-fact1: MS shipped numbers are higher than any sales tracking firm, ANY
-fact2: Nobody knows where these consoles are
-fact3: No retailer has dropped price, which would indicate overstock
-fact4: MS is having a psuedo price drop
-fact5: It is "for a limited time"

In regards to Fact 1 NPD US have 360 higher then what vgc has it at. And in Nintendo's area break down (also by NPD) it had Europe higher then what vgc had it at. So thats one tracker :)



Hyruken said:

In regards to Fact 1 NPD US have 360 higher then what vgc has it at. And in Nintendo's area break down (also by NPD) it had Europe higher then what vgc had it at. So thats one tracker :)

show me? That is, show me somethign more substantial than 50-100k?



RolStoppable said:
theprof00 said:

I never said it wasn't overtracked. I'm debating by how much. The 360-guy concensus is that it should be what 360 numbers are, and I don't think that's the case at all.

You also think that Monster Hunter will come to the Vita. You are completely detached from reality.

Note to myself: Get prof lynched as soon as possible. We need to get rid of our liabilities early.

And you think 3ds is going to get a redesign.

Note to self: Rol has nothing on you.



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theprof00 said:
Hyruken said:

In regards to Fact 1 NPD US have 360 higher then what vgc has it at. And in Nintendo's area break down (also by NPD) it had Europe higher then what vgc had it at. So thats one tracker :)

show me? That is, show me somethign more substantial than 50-100k?


Well I don't have access to the numbers so obviously can't show you them all but I recall Europe was around 200k under for 360. Sure someone will come along with the numbers for you.

But in regards to NPD US the last two NPDs were as follows.

feb vgc had 360 at 337k and NPD had 360 at 426k.

march vgc had 360 at 312k and NPD had 360 at 371k.

I think april npd is tonight?



theprof00 said:

What a flamer.

Try using english so I can respond to your post next time. :D

1) I didn't say ps3 wasn't overtracked.  I asked if you were presenting a serious argument, because I thought you were kidding.  I stand corrected.
2) It's not a conspiracy theory, it's pretty blatant logic.
-fact1: MS shipped numbers are higher than any sales tracking firm, ANY MS shipped numbers are the only thing we know for sure.  Sales tracking firms are ESTIMATES.  Contending that actual known numbers (shipments) are wrong because they don't match someones estimates is foolish.
-fact2: Nobody knows where these consoles are  You mean, YOU don't know.  I have no question as to where MS consoles are, why would I?  Again, sales estimates ARE estimates, there is an understood error rate here.
-fact3: No retailer has dropped price, which would indicate overstock  Agreed, 360 is not overstocked. 
-fact4: MS is having a psuedo price drop  Yes, at Microsoft stores, they are offering a subsidized price.  You have insinuated that this means that MS overshipped to MS stores, JUST to beat Sony's shipping numbera and now are selling them cheap to dump them.  I think this might be the picture perfect definition of a conspiracy theory right here.
-fact5: It is "for a limited time" agreed

I'm not appearing to be saying anything. It is only by your own viewpoint that you abse such a decision.  Okay, let me be clearer, what you have said in this thread leads me to believe you have a pro-Sony agenda that colors your view of reality to such a point that it is skewed.  This would caution me that in the future when reading anything you post, I understand that any argument you present is not an argument towards the realization of truth, but to further your agenda.

We have a question of how much is ps3 overtracked. The answers thus far have been "it either is as stocked as 360", or "it is less stocked as 360, and 360 is undertracked", or "ps3 is fine", or "ps3 is overtracked somewhat".

My response answers all questions unilaterally. 360 is fine where it is, as indicated by the facts we have. You have no facts that state this, as evidenced above.  You make a poorly realized statement as the basis of your argument (sales estimates are more accurate than shipping numbers) than build on that as if it proves anything.  ps3 is overtracked, and likely by 500k given how much stock is typical at this time of year, and also possibly slowing down the production when they are currently losing money on it as written in the Sony FY release.  I have made no statement as to how much the PS3 is overtracked, only that I believe the shipping numbers presented prove that it is.

You don't want to speculate using logic, then that's fine. I'll give it a shot though.  I have used logic, and I think we can respond to each other without resorting to name calling.

I'm open to hearing any sound argument you may provide to prove your point, but I don't think you have shown any yet.

Please see my responses above.



pezus said:
zhao3gold said:
How ridiculous someone here said $99 Xbox with subscription fee is MS trying to sell their over-stocked 360. The purpose of this is testing if this kind of business can be suitable for gaming industry and perhaps implent in the next gen.

I really don't understand the posts from those anti-xbox fans.

Well those who buy it will be pretty screwed when their next console comes out and they're still paying that monthly fee for a last-gen console. 

Not really. If they want, they can simply buy the next Xbox and continue to pay for XBL. Accounts transfer just like that between consoles.



theprof00 said:
zhao3gold said:
How ridiculous someone here said $99 Xbox with subscription fee is MS trying to sell their over-stocked 360. The purpose of this is testing if this kind of business can be suitable for gaming industry and perhaps implent in the next gen.

I really don't understand the posts from those anti-xbox fans.

I think it's a very logical solution to the question of "if 360 is undertracked, then where are the consoles".

MS said they would be #1 shipped. They came close. And now we think there are nearly 1.5m+ on shelves. But where are those consoles? Nobody is reporting overstock or having a price drop....that is, nobody is having a price drop except MS stores. Don't tell me you don't think that's strange. I mean, c'mon.

Sure maybe it isn't the solution, but it is a logical one. And for you to just dispute a theory without giving any real argument, especially not anything logical, well...that's just typical, isn't it.

Every major analyst and game website has discussed the reasoning behind the new pricing model. It is a test to see if low income families that don't have a lump sum of cash available will be drawn into a cheaper console with a monthly fee. People are predicting it will be used in the next generation of consoles to draw people into the userbase much quicker than they would typically opt in due to price.

Even IGN had an article about this. You have to be blatantly trying to stir up shit to claim like no one knows why they would suddenly come out with this pricing model. It is simply to test the waters for next gen. Stop with the crazy theories, they look desperate.



                                           

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TRios_Zen said:
theprof00 said:
 

What a flamer.

Try using english so I can respond to your post next time. :D

1) I didn't say ps3 wasn't overtracked.  I asked if you were presenting a serious argument, because I thought you were kidding.  I stand corrected.
2) It's not a conspiracy theory, it's pretty blatant logic.
-fact1: MS shipped numbers are higher than any sales tracking firm, ANY MS shipped numbers are the only thing we know for sure.  Sales tracking firms are ESTIMATES.  Contending that actual known numbers (shipments) are wrong because they don't match someones estimates is foolish.
-fact2: Nobody knows where these consoles are  You mean, YOU don't know.  I have no question as to where MS consoles are, why would I?  Again, sales estimates ARE estimates, there is an understood error rate here.
-fact3: No retailer has dropped price, which would indicate overstock  Agreed, 360 is not overstocked. 
-fact4: MS is having a psuedo price drop  Yes, at Microsoft stores, they are offering a subsidized price.  You have insinuated that this means that MS overshipped to MS stores, JUST to beat Sony's shipping numbera and now are selling them cheap to dump them.  I think this might be the picture perfect definition of a conspiracy theory right here.
-fact5: It is "for a limited time" agreed

I'm not appearing to be saying anything. It is only by your own viewpoint that you abse such a decision.  Okay, let me be clearer, what you have said in this thread leads me to believe you have a pro-Sony agenda that colors your view of reality to such a point that it is skewed.  This would caution me that in the future when reading anything you post, I understand that any argument you present is not an argument towards the realization of truth, but to further your agenda.

We have a question of how much is ps3 overtracked. The answers thus far have been "it either is as stocked as 360", or "it is less stocked as 360, and 360 is undertracked", or "ps3 is fine", or "ps3 is overtracked somewhat".

My response answers all questions unilaterally. 360 is fine where it is, as indicated by the facts we have. You have no facts that state this, as evidenced above.  You make a poorly realized statement as the basis of your argument (sales estimates are more accurate than shipping numbers) than build on that as if it proves anything.  ps3 is overtracked, and likely by 500k given how much stock is typical at this time of year, and also possibly slowing down the production when they are currently losing money on it as written in the Sony FY release.  I have made no statement as to how much the PS3 is overtracked, only that I believe the shipping numbers presented prove that it is.

You don't want to speculate using logic, then that's fine. I'll give it a shot though.  I have used logic, and I think we can respond to each other without resorting to name calling.

I'm open to hearing any sound argument you may provide to prove your point, but I don't think you have shown any yet.

Please see my responses above.

Hmm, you know what? Your entire response hinges on only using shipped numbers. Why not go to Gaf, where that's all they talk about?

Here at VGC we talk about SOLD. The fact that you are willing to completely overlook the entire basis of historical discussion here tells me what kind of person you are. I agree that in the grand scheme of things, only shipped really matters (to some degree). But I'm not a coward, so I talk about shipped and sold. If I am wrong, I will take responsibility for putting my trust into the billion dollar industry that is retail tracking.

You can continue going about simply pointing people out who take risks, and sit back in your peanut gallery.

Yes, I insinuated that they overshipped to MS stores in order to be the most shipped for the year. However, that isn't to say it's not far from the truth. That was simply the only thing that came to my mind. Conversely, there are other reasons why they would ship to themselves. Potentially they are at a very efficient "economy of scale" in production, so have kept up production to be as efficient as possible, planning to do this sale and did so accordingly. That doesn't mean my original theory was incorrect. It could potentially be something a board member notes as a good side-benefit. Either way, it is definitely on their mind. Make no mistake about that.

But yes, now that I know who you are (though I will probably forget because I'm not spiteful), I will remember you to be someone who only sits at the safe and never ventures into questioning why things are the way they are. Perhaps you are really on the wrong website.