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Forums - General - Mafia Round 40. Pokemon! Gotta Catch them all!

Final-Fan said:
Wonktonodi said:
Final-Fan said:

It wasn't a bluff Linkz could really afford to call, especially when there was such suspicion of Happy that could only be alleviated by the sibling coming out. 

Also, I for one only lynched hatmoza because Happy was too far away from a lynch himself. 

And if there's really only one scum faction, I wouldn't be so sure hatmoza's town.  With a town this size and only one mafia and no SK, I could see a scum governor.  Not saying it's likely, but possible IMO. 

I don't think linkz played it well trying to call a bluff. While at the same time hat didn't have to push that so hard yesterday.

So your vote was just a bandwagon vote?

He's about as confirmed as any townie can be obviously there is always a posibility, but until we know more of the set up. He's pretty much the last person we should lynch.

I probably wouldn't have done what hat did, but once hatmoza threw his hat (hur hur) in the ring, there was exactly one right play for Linkz and he did the opposite.  (The pun was entirely unintentional, but now that I've spotted it I'm giggling.)

Calling it bandwagoning is gross oversimplification.  Remember, hatmoza was going to kill Happy anyway, so the only difference was that we'd confirm hatmoza's ability, at the cost of using it up.  Also I wanted the day to finally end. 

if you had more reasons it's very silly to say one reason was the only reason.



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Wonktonodi said:
Final-Fan said:

I probably wouldn't have done what hat did, but once hatmoza threw his hat (hur hur) in the ring, there was exactly one right play for Linkz and he did the opposite.  (The pun was entirely unintentional, but now that I've spotted it I'm giggling.)

Calling it bandwagoning is gross oversimplification.  Remember, hatmoza was going to kill Happy anyway, so the only difference was that we'd confirm hatmoza's ability, at the cost of using it up.  Also I wanted the day to finally end. 

if you had more reasons it's very silly to say one reason was the only reason.

The other reasons weren't sufficient to make me vote hatmoza.  I mean come on, it would be terrible if I voted just to end the day without a good reason to lynch someone.  And, all else being equal, I would have been willing to give hatmoza the benefit of the doubt instead of immediately forcing him to prove his claim.  But the ADDITIONAL fact that Happy just wasn't apparently going to get lynched made testing hatmoza's claim a very reasonable backup plan. 

I "only" voted him once that became clear.  Do you get it now? 

(You can ignore this next part, but I find it interesting and instructive:  "Variation in the placement of only can change the meaning of the sentence, as the following examples show: Dictators respect only force; they are not moved by words. Dictators only respect force; they do not worship it. She picked up the receiver only when he entered, not before. She only picked up the receiver when he entered; she didn't dial the number.http://www.thefreedictionary.com/only

(I didn't say I lynched hat only because Happy wasn't getting lynched.)



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Final-Fan said:

The other reasons weren't sufficient to make me vote hatmoza.  I mean come on, it would be terrible if I voted just to end the day without a good reason to lynch someone.  And, all else being equal, I would have been willing to give hatmoza the benefit of the doubt instead of immediately forcing him to prove his claim.  But the ADDITIONAL fact that Happy just wasn't apparently going to get lynched made testing hatmoza's claim a very reasonable backup plan. 

I "only" voted him once that became clear.  Do you get it now? 

(You can ignore this next part, but I find it interesting and instructive:  "Variation in the placement of only can change the meaning of the sentence, as the following examples show: Dictators respect only force; they are not moved by words. Dictators only respect force; they do not worship it. She picked up the receiver only when he entered, not before. She only picked up the receiver when he entered; she didn't dial the number.http://www.thefreedictionary.com/only

(I didn't say I lynched hat only because Happy wasn't getting lynched.)

and that brings us full circle back to a bandwagon vote :P

very informative though thanks :)



supermario128 said:

Still, with only one night kill this most likely means we only have 1 mafia family. (Most likely containing 5 members)


Sounds plausible.

I also think there are 4 or 5 mafia members. 4 or 5 out of 19 sounds like a good ratio.



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manuel said:

Sounds plausible.

I also think there are 4 or 5 mafia members. 4 or 5 out of 19 sounds like a good ratio.


Yup, who do you think those 4 or 5 mafia members most likely are? Same question goes to everyone else as well.




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TruckOSaurus said:
I won't post anymore tonight but rereading the exchange between radish and stelf, I'm not sure if radishhead is scum or just a big bumbling idiot.


and why can't radish be both?



If there are that many, some that look unsuspicious must be scum, so it's really hard to say.
At this point I'm wary of spurge (as mentioned a bit before).
I'm not completely sure of pezus and NintendoPie either.

As for scum ratio, I found this neat calculator:
http://games-net.de/hosted/tggc/trash/mafiacalc.php?mafia=5&town=14&phase=0&votechance=0&do=Go!
With 5 mafia and 14 town, the chance of a town win is apparently 9.20%. I don't like than number. :(

4 to 15 would be a 17.76 % chance of a town win.
http://games-net.de/hosted/tggc/trash/mafiacalc.php?mafia=4&town=15&phase=0&votechance=0&do=Go!

I don't know how reliable those calculations are, but I find them interesting.



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M.U.G.E.N said:
hatmoza said:
M.U.G.E.N said:
hatmoza said:
M.U.G.E.N said:
is rol a noob? :S Serious Q
I know I'm a noob, happyD was, nintypie..who else?


Who do you get to talk to during the night phase?


I thought we can't pm each other during night phase? :S


I said nothing about pms. Answer the question.

dude seriously don't put me in this situation. I'm not gonna reveal if I could talk to someone else to you. If you guys have one of those truth finding guys you can use him to check if I'm telling the truth or not

I'm townie

is this good enough?

When I was looking to see how much you said today so far I remembered this.

You seem a bit too defiant like you cant talk outside the thread and since 2 townie who could do that are already gone that makes you a little more likely to be scum.

Just saying you are townie doesn't mean much. The lie detector isn't a common role and there are many people the lie detector could go for if there was one.



supermario128 said:
TruckOSaurus said:

[supermario128] => 24

Great job making this table! I don't know if I could have the patience to do something like this with so many posts in this thread. That being said, the table is meaningless.

I disagree on it being meaningless. It does a pretty good job of showing people who lurked. Obviously your case is defferent since you put many posts into one, so your post count woudl show a lurker while the content puts you way out of it.

It also can show people who were under a lot of heat. Such as HD and Hat being up there. And that we have some spammers. spurge and pezuz.



manuel said:
I don't know how reliable those calculations are, but I find them interesting.

Well, you can't necessarily leave the vote chance at 0, some days we will be 100% sure, some days 50% sure, and so on. Leaving it on 0 means it is just a random vote, so the odds will be very low. We have a better chance that what those percentages indicate.




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Feel free to add me on 3DS or Switch! (PM me if you do ^-^)
Nintendo ID: Mako91                  3DS code: 4167-4543-6089