It is going to be much different than this gen. I believe in the traditional sense it is going to shrink (Sony, Nintendo, Microsoft). However, I think we will see a massive increase with set top boxes from Apple, Samsung, LG, and more that are capable of running ports of the next gen games.
If Apple puts out an iTV set top box, and iTV that are equal to or more powerful than the WiiU it is going to be a major game changer. They can sell something like that in the 10's of millions per Q at much higher prices than people will pay for the current 3. They can integrate iPhone, iPad, iPod, and iMac in to a way the big three are still far behind. Add community driven tools to an already massive fan base, and it is a scary thing for the big three.
With that in place look to the rest, Samsung, LG, Vizio, and mabye some of the smart phone/tablet makers to jump on board with set top boxes or TV's running Android, with the same capabilities.
So will the market grow?
Yes.
I think that it will nearly get to the point wear every device you buy to connect to your TV, and every future TV will be capable of running games at some level. The platform will switch back to OS's with hardware getting stronger year after year.
Is it going to boom for the big 3?
Very unlikely. Consoles were originally developed for ease of use, and to maximize weak hardware. The days of confusing OS's, compatibility issues, and weak hardware are at an end. $300 8in tablets are nearly on par with current gen systems, and run on much more advanced OS's than any of the current gen systems.
The days of platform game hardware are nearly over, and the idea behind them is archaic, and bad for games as a whole. Time to move forward to a bigger market, and invite all people to play all games, on all systems.
Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.
Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010
KBG29 on PSN&XBL