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Forums - Sales - Predict PlayStation Vita Japan launch sales - Results are here!!!

Zlejedi on 15 December 2011
kopstudent89 said:
snakenobi said:
kopstudent89 said:
I think the biggest launch in Japan ever was the PS2 at 600k... Why people are predicting it will more than that when there's really no big PSV game is beyond me :P

3DS had the same price and is a handheld, so it should be comparable to it. That said, 3DS had the initial "3D" hype where as the Vita is lacking a bit of that at the moment due to the immense 3DS momentum. Reports have also said that Sony have been a bit conservative with the shipment. If it does anything above 400k, then I'll be surprised

actually alot of that hype had gone down by the time 3DS launched because of the perioed between announcement and launch.They announced it at E3 2010 and they launched in Feb-Mar.

Alot of the hype was also because of the big launch line-up they had mentioned at E3 an by the time of the launch,most of the games had been delayed.

Nintendo own projections fell short.

But Nintendo shipped around 400k at launch, theyw ere conservative about the launch. Vita on the other hand is gonna be 5000 yen more expensive and actually faces 3DS competition. I think some old MH fans won't be buying the Vita now, and that will affect sales. Maybe week 1 will be gret, but I doubt it for week 2 and onwards unless Sony have a major announcement 

 

Well don't forget that 3DS was replacing almost dead DS which lost almost all of it's momentum before 3DS launch.

Meanwhile VIta is coming while PSP brand is very strong and alive.

 



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saicho on 15 December 2011
Zlejedi said:
kopstudent89 said:
snakenobi said:
kopstudent89 said:
I think the biggest launch in Japan ever was the PS2 at 600k... Why people are predicting it will more than that when there's really no big PSV game is beyond me :P

3DS had the same price and is a handheld, so it should be comparable to it. That said, 3DS had the initial "3D" hype where as the Vita is lacking a bit of that at the moment due to the immense 3DS momentum. Reports have also said that Sony have been a bit conservative with the shipment. If it does anything above 400k, then I'll be surprised

actually alot of that hype had gone down by the time 3DS launched because of the perioed between announcement and launch.They announced it at E3 2010 and they launched in Feb-Mar.

Alot of the hype was also because of the big launch line-up they had mentioned at E3 an by the time of the launch,most of the games had been delayed.

Nintendo own projections fell short.

But Nintendo shipped around 400k at launch, theyw ere conservative about the launch. Vita on the other hand is gonna be 5000 yen more expensive and actually faces 3DS competition. I think some old MH fans won't be buying the Vita now, and that will affect sales. Maybe week 1 will be gret, but I doubt it for week 2 and onwards unless Sony have a major announcement 

 

Well don't forget that 3DS was replacing almost dead DS which lost almost all of it's momentum before 3DS launch.

Meanwhile VIta is coming while PSP brand is very strong and alive.

 

Not sure what you are talking about.

DS was selling way more untis in Japan at this time last year than PSP is selling right now. Even at the slow month of Feb before 3DS launched, DS was selling 25K. 

Also, even as you stated PSP brand is strong and alive, it doesn't mean it would help Vita sales. People could just pick PSP over Vita which would actually have a negative effect on Vita's number.

 



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

snakenobi on 15 December 2011
saicho said:
Zlejedi said:
kopstudent89 said:
snakenobi said:
kopstudent89 said:
I think the biggest launch in Japan ever was the PS2 at 600k... Why people are predicting it will more than that when there's really no big PSV game is beyond me :P

3DS had the same price and is a handheld, so it should be comparable to it. That said, 3DS had the initial "3D" hype where as the Vita is lacking a bit of that at the moment due to the immense 3DS momentum. Reports have also said that Sony have been a bit conservative with the shipment. If it does anything above 400k, then I'll be surprised

actually alot of that hype had gone down by the time 3DS launched because of the perioed between announcement and launch.They announced it at E3 2010 and they launched in Feb-Mar.

Alot of the hype was also because of the big launch line-up they had mentioned at E3 an by the time of the launch,most of the games had been delayed.

Nintendo own projections fell short.

But Nintendo shipped around 400k at launch, theyw ere conservative about the launch. Vita on the other hand is gonna be 5000 yen more expensive and actually faces 3DS competition. I think some old MH fans won't be buying the Vita now, and that will affect sales. Maybe week 1 will be gret, but I doubt it for week 2 and onwards unless Sony have a major announcement 

 

Well don't forget that 3DS was replacing almost dead DS which lost almost all of it's momentum before 3DS launch.

Meanwhile VIta is coming while PSP brand is very strong and alive.

 

Not sure what you are talking about.

DS was selling way more untis in Japan at this time last year than PSP is selling right now. Even at the slow month of Feb before 3DS launched, DS was selling 25K. 

Also, even as you stated PSP brand is strong and alive, it doesn't mean it would help Vita sales. People could just pick PSP over Vita which would actually have a negative effect on Vita's number.

 

compared to how massive DS was in its days the sales after were low before 3DS release

3DS launched in FEB not in DEC so don't compare its December 2010 sales and even those were low

 

popular predecessar helps the successor to atleast get a good start.

Its not to say VITA will be bigger than 3DS but that VITA's launch has a good possiblity of a great launch



PBBN43 on 15 December 2011

412k



snakenobi on 15 December 2011

updated



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italo244 on 15 December 2011

Ok, i really changed my mind. I dont think it will do 390k anymore. 350k maximum.



psrock on 15 December 2011

No big game, expensive, Sony,


250k



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11/20/09 04:25 makingmusic476 Warning Other (Your avatar is borderline NSFW. Please keep it for as long as possible.)
hiska-kun on 16 December 2011

The 90% of people have crazy predictions. More than 400k is impossible. 

Also, Sony hasn't said anything about the shipment, probably because is not too big. 

I say 240k



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Seece on 16 December 2011
snakenobi said:
Seece said:
Didn't 3DS do 370k~ launch week? I know it's holidays but VIta actually has fierce competition in 3DS, 3DS had nothing, 800k just seems 0_o


so is 800k ur prediction?

No?



 

hiska-kun on 16 December 2011
hiska-kun said:

The 90% of people have crazy predictions. More than 400k is impossible. 

Also, Sony hasn't said anything about the shipment, probably because is not too big. 

I say 240k


Well, it seems that i was wrong with the "not too big" shipment. It seems that it will be more than 700k according to adriasang:

http://andriasang.com/comze0/vita_shipments/

But my bet is the same.



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