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Forums - Sales Discussion - Xbox 360 Vs. Playstation 3 2012 - *February* Update

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Its got no chance now, the gaps still growing. Unless like last year Call of Duty turns it around theres now way itll do it.



You guys are just cruel ... Seece hasn't posted in 6 days because of this shit. I hope you all are proud ...



I am the black sheep     "of course I'm crazy, but that doesn't mean I'm wrong."-Robert Anton Wilson

yo_john117 said:
Player1x3 said:
Seece said:

So, Microsoft have said, a few times, that they plan to be #1 in sales, for 2011. Sales not shipments.

What have they got up their sleeve? Are they just talking the talk? Or just bonkers.

I'll track the 360's progress against the only rival above it now, the PS3. (although I do think 3DS will go above both, not sure if MS are counting handhelds)



And this comes from a guy who thinks xbox has chance of outselling ps2 in america...

But it does have a chance. Both this year and next year will be massive for the 360 in America. This year due to how well it's selling already and next year due to the price cut.

And then it will sell at least a couple of years after that.

@Player1x3 its definately possible if you look at the numbers.

The ps2 is currently sitting at +56mil but its putting up really really low numbers atm...so i think it will end up at 57 mil or just below.

360 is at 33.8mil and will likely end this year at 38 - 39 mil.

It should have a relatively strong year in 2012, but i think it will be significantly down irrespective of the price cut, as sales will be significantly down during slow periods, new wii u console releasing and possibly nextbox hype. My estimation for 2012 sales is about 7mil. That should put 360 at 45mil.

after that microsoft will look to position 360 as the budget home console of choice (not sure about this though, all depends on how commited they are to the 360 and how well nextbox does) but if it does happen 360 will continue to sell respectably for at least another 3 - 4. They could have a possible  4 - 6 mil year in 2013. This will depend on when nextbox gets announced. But that would then put 360 at 50mil.

After that ps2 numbers are in site and all MS have to do is support it relatively well, keep it relevant as a budget console and keep it on the shelves for a long enough period. If it stays on shelves as long as the ps2 then it probably will reach ps2 numbers.

Its really not such a craxy statement to make. So i think you wrong for calling out Seece on that prediction.

@yo_john117 just realised i didnt need to quote you my bad



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ils411 said:
thx1139 said:
ils411 said:
thx1139 said:
sales2099 said:
With Sony releasing the data that PS3 is trailing behind the 360 by 2 million, Microsoft might be compelled to act now and drop the price. Not only to beat PS3 this year, but to hold their lead in general.

I hope they take whatever profit they can from MW3 and the 360 limited edition and drop the price a week or two after for all 360 skus


Doubtful, most retailers already have November sales advertisements in place including Black Friday advertisements. MS dropping price would cause a pretty big disruption to retailer plans. What you will see is even more special offers in December. Just this week. Target, Best Buy, Walmart, Kmart, and Amazon all have gift card deals on Xbox 360s.  I expect that every week between now and end of the year you will be able to get a deal on a 360.

Thats just not true. For retailers, its never too late to slash down prices if it means more sales. Heck when I use to work at retail, we implemented new price cuts and price offs 1st week of December. Needless to say, we just made make shift sinages to convey the new discounted prices.

Price offs and discounts = more potential sales.

So MS works with retailer(s) for a big black Friday promotion and the retailer produces signage and advertisements including those big deals and last minute MS just drops the price.  That doesnt cause a disruption?  All of a sudden there deal hoping to bring customers in and purchase other things is negated with an across the board price cut.  It is to late for November price cut. 

Also by the way Toys R Us Friday/Saturday sale advertisement for this week just popped up and 360s with Kinect include gift card so add TRU to the list of deals this week.

Sure, why not? odder things have happened. As for advertising posters, signages and such, just print out the new prices on plain white paper, cut it and slap it ontop of the old prices indicated on the posters and other signages. easy as pie.


Nah that's very unlikely.  As he says deals, etc. will already be agreed.  Changing stuff like this costs a lot of money - the only way it would work would be if MS agreed to foot the bill for the additional discount (as the retailers would say they're not losing any more margin) as well as any reprinting of materials.  Slapping cheap price changes over expensive materials is only done in emergencies normally.

MS may have provisional deals in place waiting to be executed but getting stuff like this in place is complex, and most of the deals, etc. should already be set in place by now.

I suspect MS will have vendor funded a whole slew of bundles and similar deals that'll pop up on queue across the holidays.

But I doubt anything new will be agreed or put in place.  Remember it's MS's problem if they've slightly misjudged their tactics for deals not the retailers.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...

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Player1x3 said:


It does not have the slightest chance. It needs to sell 25m+ in its last dying years. That is almost 100% of what it sold LTD, and there's no chance of that happening, even if it has 10 Halos coming out next year. Hell, next 2 years would need to be as good or better than 2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010 and 2011 COMBINED !!. Seriously, anypne who thinks this has the slightest chance of happening is extremely delusional abouth the subject

After this year it will only need to sell about 19 mil. And at that point it will only need roughly half of its LTD sales in Americas. So i dont get where you get this "almost 100% of what it sold LTD" thats simply not true.

And how can you say dying years? Its busy having its best year! It will likely be down nexy year yes but not by too much. The way Sony and MS are going they are looking at late 2013 or 2014 releases for their next consoles. This gen is longer than most.

360 has yet to make the move to a budget line console...which is why i think they holding out on price cuts. They are about one or two price cuts away from being a true budget console. If ms choose to do this then it will last pretty long.

360 has one strong year left (maybe two depending on wii u success) in it followed by declining year over year sales. Its not gonna just stop selling.



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Player1x3 said:
yo_john117 said:
Player1x3 said:
Seece said:

So, Microsoft have said, a few times, that they plan to be #1 in sales, for 2011. Sales not shipments.

What have they got up their sleeve? Are they just talking the talk? Or just bonkers.

I'll track the 360's progress against the only rival above it now, the PS3. (although I do think 3DS will go above both, not sure if MS are counting handhelds)



And this comes from a guy who thinks xbox has chance of outselling ps2 in america...

But it does have a chance. Both this year and next year will be massive for the 360 in America. This year due to how well it's selling already and next year due to the price cut.

And then it will sell at least a couple of years after that.


It does not have the slightest chance. It needs to sell 25m+ in its last dying years. That is almost 100% of what it sold LTD, and there's no chance of that happening, even if it has 10 Halos coming out next year. Hell, next 2 years would need to be as good or better than 2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010 and 2011 COMBINED !!. Seriously, anypne who thinks this has the slightest chance of happening is extremely delusional abouth the subject

How about you learn to debate without attacking/name calling people. 

It's not in it's dying years. This year the 360 will probably match or be up YOY in the Americas not to mention next year it will probably do close to this year because there will be a price cut.

And you are assuming that the 360 will stop selling completely when the next box comes out which is not going to be the case at all. The only reason why MS pulled the original Xbox is because it was a black hole for money.

If you look at the numbers you will see it is possible that the 360 overtakes the PS2 sales in the Americas.



Michael-5 said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Michael-5 said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
 



We debate well yes. CoD should boost sales more then any other game this holiday. The only other comparable boost would be Black Friday, which would also be pro 360. yea your an ok debator lol. well the best this yr for me anyway. well yea MW3 should boost sells more then any game this yr., but we did have allot of good contenders for that top spot but in the end MW3 will kill. UC3 will do perfectly well in its own right looking to sell 1m ww first wk and likely staying in the 100k-300k range for sometime like GEARS3. i don't know about black friday being Pro 360. can you tell me any boundles 360 has for that day? 

We're biased, but not fanboys. We realize our bias and preference in games and don't force it onto others. dito.

AHHH good point about FFXIII-2 Japanese launch in Japan. Looks like overall December may be pretty even too. That game is huge in Japan.

yep and its still bigger on PS3 in the Americas so i expect a boost from it there aswell. i found out the name of that RPG. its Ni No Kuni and that should also keep PS3 ahead Nov. and Dec. Ni No Kuni will be released in the EMEAA's and Americas in 2012. in March.

MS will likely bundle several games for Black Friday. I heard as much as 5 games will be bundled, and not too bad choices I hear. I hear Alan Wake, Halo 3 and a Fable, but I can't remember where I heard this from. hum ok. no not bad at all but  Halo3 is what 4yr's old, Fable isn't really that big, and neither is Alan wake but this gives many 360 fans that have yet to buy the console a reason to pick one up.

the thing is Sony has more resent games for bundles. games released this yr. LBP2, Infamous2, and i think KZ3 with some sort of GT5 thing going on. the 360 IMO has great bundles, but standalone sells PS3 has the better ones when talking about Fable and Alanwake, and Halo3 is older then allot of things in life lol.

MW3 is different from Battlefield. 360 has always had a stronger tie ratio among CoD fans then PS3, and with the 100k limited edition MW3 package, I'm confident 360 will sell well that week, and likely more then PS3.

yea sure, but i think i'll take a wait and see approach cause i like eating eggs cooked, not using them as facial cream. hey you still got some egg on you nose lol.

The week after I dunno. Japanese gamers like coloured consoles, but American gamers like Halo. I think 360 should edge it, but barely.

well the PSP colors sold well in the Americas, but these colors still have no release date to my knowledge for the america's.

With Halo: CEA I will finally own a copy of every Halo hehe. I borrowed Halo for PC in the past, but never owned a legit copy myself. Ahh good old ms, milking the Halo franchise. lol i couldn't agree more.

I have a history??? you know it was a typo. well it was bond to happen to me eventualy lol considering how many you had last time lol.



I think Black Friday will be pro 360 because Black Friday is a US specific sales event, and in the US 360 typically outsells PS3 on a given week 2:1. It's less in the holidays, but 360 is always more favored, and if you look back at BF data, 360 always got a bigger boost (I think). you think to much. 2009 is the exception. my point was the Sony bundled games are newer so there more on the must have side, where as MS bundled games are not new so there not quite in demand. but GT5 tells a different story considering its up 50% each wk 

FFXIII-2 doesn't release outside of Japan intil late January, so only Japans boost is relevant here, and it will be big. Guess PS3 at best, could match 360 this fall overall. hold on 1 minute! Jan 31 which is good and bad considering ME3: wait ME3 comes out March 16th so that means Sony pretty much has the first 2 months of 2012? holly f'n hell. Jan./Feb. has mostly always been good to Sony and with TW coming out on Feb14th and Soul Calibur5 coming out in Jan. right along with FF13-2. PS3 sells should be higher then they've ever been for those 2 months. or at the least keep Sony ahead in the new yr. fighting games still do better on PS platforms. 

March has also been a good month to Sony, but other then Yakuza Dead Souls MS has March in the bag with software. lets see if that affects PS3 sells for the first time in 4 yr's i think.

I just have faith in Kinect. It's a stupid gimmick, but these gimmicks tend to push consoles. I think Nov/Dec numbers will be strong for MS due to Kinect, and If MS was smart they would make a cool Kinect bundle, not like the one they have now. i would say MS is not smart but they make billions a yr so that wouldn't make much sense. humm is this the same faith Seece is using? faith F'k faith. you'll need more then faith to covence me kinect will boost hardware! thats your weakest arguement yet and i can't say you've had many if any. but faith other then maybe religion is nothing more then blind. are you telling me your driving a train with no breaks blindfolded about to derail on to the streets running through schools, chuches and what ever else you can run through while driving a runaway train while blind cause you forgot your glasses at home but there right infont of you on the runaway speeding train but you can't see them cause your blind whether you put them on or not?

faith! you better come up with something better then that fast!

hell i don't have faith any of this will happenning. i look at whats out and whats coming out then i look and trends for yrs past and whts going on now, and with BF3 boosting PS3 hardware ww dispite higher preoders and sells ww on 360, and PS3 sells mainly in the EMEAA then i have no idea other then the past 4 or 5 yr's why a repeat of that most recent event of last wk won't happen when MW3 comes out. it can happen. it likely will happen. but we've already proven history doesn't always repeat itself or have you for gotten?

again when you when you quote this you better have something better then faith. 

PS3 bundles have newer games, yea, but it's not like Uncharted 3 will push that many more new gamers to buy a PS3 is Uncharted 2 did. It will obviously still push some, but many limited edition console buyers will buy the console out of sheer fanboyism. They did this for Halo and Gears in the past as well. meh. whatever happens it will be signifigant considering one factor and thats it has higher preorders then UC2, and did GEARS3 v GEARS2. srry but like GEARS although the bigger of the 2 UC3 will have a huge impact on PS3 hardware sells.

well it should anyway when you look at everything except R3.

With the 360 multi-game bundles, new gamers get a deal, and get 1 game from each major exclusive franchise, or from most of them. That I would imagine, would appeal to new console buyers more, and as they beat those older games, then they will get the newer versions used. They are clearly in no rush if they have no console yet. yep and as with PS3 bundles. why are we arguing this mute point? its not even an argument. its more like stateting the obvious. both consoles have relatively new games so for new buyers there even.

Console colours never come outside of Japan anymore. It's a shame because I really liked the N64 colours, and I waited to get my Wii in a special ed colour (got red). I think the White PS3 boosted sales in Japan in 2010 by 30k in mid summer for a week, so multi colours could boost PS3 sales by 50-100k during the fall, which seems exactly like that Halo: CEA will do. well lets see. 4 consoles. at 50k per console equal's 200k. or 400k. those are your numbers not mine? besides those consoles will stay on retail shelves so the boost won't stop thre. yea it is sad. hell we got multicolor controlers why not consoles?

I don;t get your comment about my history... your crazy. i wasn't talking about your history. it was a typo/miss print. look at the post below.

here re-read the post with the changes. the word change will be underlined in blod

COD! seriously? did we not just learn a valuable lesson by underestimating BD3's impact on PS3 sells? never the less i'm not blind deff and dumb cause we have history and it can repeat its self. on the other hand the 360 version of BF3 still sold better on 360 in the Americas and 360 still got thrashed on the hardware side so lets not give to much credit to 360 and favor it as the winner but its likely to be that way.

the most significant part of that post was history can repeat its self.



Shinobi-san said:
yo_john117 said:
Player1x3 said:
Seece said:

So, Microsoft have said, a few times, that they plan to be #1 in sales, for 2011. Sales not shipments.

What have they got up their sleeve? Are they just talking the talk? Or just bonkers.

I'll track the 360's progress against the only rival above it now, the PS3. (although I do think 3DS will go above both, not sure if MS are counting handhelds)



And this comes from a guy who thinks xbox has chance of outselling ps2 in america...

But it does have a chance. Both this year and next year will be massive for the 360 in America. This year due to how well it's selling already and next year due to the price cut.

And then it will sell at least a couple of years after that.

@Player1x3 its definately possible if you look at the numbers.

The ps2 is currently sitting at +56mil but its putting up really really low numbers atm...so i think it will end up at 57 mil or just below.

360 is at 33.8mil and will likely end this year at 38 - 39 mil.

It should have a relatively strong year in 2012, but i think it will be significantly down irrespective of the price cut, as sales will be significantly down during slow periods, new wii u console releasing and possibly nextbox hype. My estimation for 2012 sales is about 7mil. That should put 360 at 45mil.

after that microsoft will look to position 360 as the budget home console of choice (not sure about this though, all depends on how commited they are to the 360 and how well nextbox does) but if it does happen 360 will continue to sell respectably for at least another 3 - 4. They could have a possible  4 - 6 mil year in 2013. This will depend on when nextbox gets announced. But that would then put 360 at 50mil.

After that ps2 numbers are in site and all MS have to do is support it relatively well, keep it relevant as a budget console and keep it on the shelves for a long enough period. If it stays on shelves as long as the ps2 then it probably will reach ps2 numbers.

Its really not such a craxy statement to make. So i think you wrong for calling out Seece on that prediction.

@yo_john117 just realised i didnt need to quote you my bad

true but PS2 will likely have sold 60m by then all it needs is 1.7 for the next 4Q's like it did this past quarter. i'm not getting into this so if you quote me i'm likey. i mean highly likely not to respond. PS2 and PS3 will likely still be on the market after 360 has been disconinued so the chance of PS2 leading american home console sell again is there.

again i'm not in this.



I think this talk of this title will boost sales and this title will boost sales is silly. MW3 not going to do much, FFXIII-2 not going to do much, etc. etc.

Sure a special edition console may cause a small increase in sales, but for the most part they just increase profits not sales. Maybe a week or two bump thats it. Software particularly sequels/prequels are done pushing much software. This time of year it comes down to overall support and market excitement.

In US 360 is now what the people are talking about, the PS3 price cut will help some this year, but the 360 now has the excitement factor. All people care about now with software is is the platform being supported. 360 and PS3 can definitely say yes to that question. 360 now has the excitement of the casual Christmas gift purchasing crowd with Kinect, and unlike last year they wont run out of supply of 360s and Kinect. A huge amount of Kinect titles have also hit the street in the last couple of weeks as well so the consumers believe Kinect is supported.

Finally look at the Holiday Console Hardware Special Deal thread. MS is already starting with the promotions. Nearly every major retailer has a $50 credit on 360 purchase this week. Look for this all November and December.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.