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Forums - Sales Discussion - Xbox 360 Vs. Playstation 3 2012 - *February* Update

If only Japan would play by the same rules as the rest of us. In Japan, the 360 should have sold half of what the PS3 sold. It's only fair.



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double post



postofficebuddy said:
The_God_of_War said:

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Oct 2010 to 01st Jan 2011:

X360                  PS3


6,866,522          6,283,436

Just another way to look at it. MS outsold PS3 by nearly 600K from Oct 10th 2010 to Jan 1st 2011. They need to outsell the PS3 by nearly twice that amount this year without Kinect being the hot new device. If MS have a price cut or something up their sleeves they should do it already.



I mentioned the same bit of data a few weeks ago and Seece took an attitude with me and basically said 'Well they'll find a way to do it'. It's a statistical improbability. Why can't people just accept its not going to happen. Its not just a baseless fanboy argument, its backed up by the data that we have.

Yeah because that's exactly what it is, you sound almost scared to admit it. I'll put Microsoft before you, I'll also say they have a heck ton more data than we do, and people actually qualified to comment. That's why I can't say how they'll do it, but I havn't heard Sony or Nintendo argue what they've been saying at all. You just seem to think they're going to blag their way through the rest of this year. Not gonna happen, they wouldn't reiterate every month.



 

Pikachu266 said:
Michael-5 said:
d21lewis said:
I don't have any raw figures to back me up and I could just be talking out of my ass. With that said, I've seen it time and again where it's been stated that sales for Oct, Nov, and Dec are equal to or greater than the sales for the other nine months combined. Microsoft is shooting their gaming load in the last few months of the year (Forza, Gears--which was in September, Halo Anniversary, and a few Kinect titles). Who's to say that there won't be some price cut or a big Kinect push, too? Add to that the promise of new dashboard functionality and TV support.

It's definitely possible.

Yea, I agree with this. With Kinect and it's appeal to the casual audience, I think MS can at least tie Sony for the last 3 months of the year, and I do expect a surprise Kinect price cut + Bundle. I also wouldn't be surprised if MS made a Forza 4, Gears 3 or even Halo Reach bundle.

Even if they just bump up the hard drive in the Arcade model to 12GB, that would be like a price cut. I still use my 20GB (14 available GB) hard drive on my old SKU 360 and I don't fill it up, even with videos and DLC.

Anything is possible, but I expect PS3 to outsell 360 for October. Maybe I'm wrong and Just Dance 3 will boost 360 numbers substantially. I remember when Wii Fit came out seeing people come to stores just looking for that in particular.


but just dace is also on the playstation? plus xbox has dance central while move has everybody dance plus with the move price cut i reckon just dance 3 plus a few new casual move games and everybody dance will do great with the casuals plus the battlefield 3 and Uncharted 3 holidays bundle will do great in america while the silver and white limited editions 3 will kill in europe so xbox can win but it's very unlikely, they need a pricecut

i agree with this recently banned person. 



It will most likely be close, considering Microsoft has a few big titles still left for the year, but Sony has some big titles, too, but Microsoft's titles do push some systems more often than Sony's. Sony is not going to just lay back and let it happen, though, but it will definitely be close.



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postofficebuddy said:
The_God_of_War said:

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Oct 2010 to 01st Jan 2011:

X360                  PS3


6,866,522          6,283,436

Just another way to look at it. MS outsold PS3 by nearly 600K from Oct 10th 2010 to Jan 1st 2011. They need to outsell the PS3 by nearly twice that amount this year without Kinect being the hot new device. If MS have a price cut or something up their sleeves they should do it already.



I mentioned the same bit of data a few weeks ago and Seece took an attitude with me and basically said 'Well they'll find a way to do it'. It's a statistical improbability. Why can't people just accept its not going to happen. Its not just a baseless fanboy argument, its backed up by the data that we have.

its seems Seece is using the same broken logic used last yr. 

this yr there are no advantages. you could easily pare whts going to help who and cancel them out.

COD boost: no point in arguing this one, but generaly not like yr's before it cancels out and the FFXIII-2 bundle will also cover this one

BF3: this ones funny considering it favors MS in preorders so you'd think it would help. the bundle for the PS3 version is likely the funniest part about this bundle cause it won't help much and whts left from FFXIII-2 if  there is anything left will also cancel any boost given.

UC3 v Halo: yea i know UC isn't as big as Halo but it will cancel any boost given from Halo.

GEARS: the price cut canceled that and FIFA. not quite the cancel but it did some good and kept sonys 1m lead in tact.

360 bundles v PS3 multi colors: i'm not sure wht else is coming out but i'm sure theres something to cancel it.

If Sony/PS3 losses anything it will be a few thousand, and the PS3 lead isn't just 1m so that few 100k(i don't know wht it is cause i haven't looked) will hold off MS as it has in the past.

counter it if you want, but it won't help.



Seece said:
postofficebuddy said:
The_God_of_War said:

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Oct 2010 to 01st Jan 2011:

X360                  PS3


6,866,522          6,283,436

Just another way to look at it. MS outsold PS3 by nearly 600K from Oct 10th 2010 to Jan 1st 2011. They need to outsell the PS3 by nearly twice that amount this year without Kinect being the hot new device. If MS have a price cut or something up their sleeves they should do it already.



I mentioned the same bit of data a few weeks ago and Seece took an attitude with me and basically said 'Well they'll find a way to do it'. It's a statistical improbability. Why can't people just accept its not going to happen. Its not just a baseless fanboy argument, its backed up by the data that we have.

Yeah because that's exactly what it is, you sound almost scared to admit it. I'll put Microsoft before you, I'll also say they have a heck ton more data than we do, and people actually qualified to comment. That's why I can't say how they'll do it, but I havn't heard Sony or Nintendo argue what they've been saying at all. You just seem to think they're going to blag their way through the rest of this year. Not gonna happen, they wouldn't reiterate every month.

 

Ugh... whatever. I'm done arguing with you. If you're not going to present an argument to me other than blind hope than this conversation is pointless. A small reminder:

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=40818®=Japan&date=40167

http://news.cnet.com/8301-17938_105-20108319-1/final-fantasy-themed-ps3-reloaded/#ixzz1YQBprL00

That's only 24k less than what PS3 sold during all of December in Japan last year. And ironically enough PS3 is currently baseling quite close to its 2009 sales level in Japan.

 



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postofficebuddy said:
Seece said:
postofficebuddy said:
The_God_of_War said:

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 10th Oct 2010 to 01st Jan 2011:

X360                  PS3


6,866,522          6,283,436

Just another way to look at it. MS outsold PS3 by nearly 600K from Oct 10th 2010 to Jan 1st 2011. They need to outsell the PS3 by nearly twice that amount this year without Kinect being the hot new device. If MS have a price cut or something up their sleeves they should do it already.



I mentioned the same bit of data a few weeks ago and Seece took an attitude with me and basically said 'Well they'll find a way to do it'. It's a statistical improbability. Why can't people just accept its not going to happen. Its not just a baseless fanboy argument, its backed up by the data that we have.

Yeah because that's exactly what it is, you sound almost scared to admit it. I'll put Microsoft before you, I'll also say they have a heck ton more data than we do, and people actually qualified to comment. That's why I can't say how they'll do it, but I havn't heard Sony or Nintendo argue what they've been saying at all. You just seem to think they're going to blag their way through the rest of this year. Not gonna happen, they wouldn't reiterate every month.

 

Ugh... whatever. I'm done arguing with you. If you're not going to present an argument to me other than blind hope than this conversation is pointless. A small reminder:

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=40818®=Japan&date=40167

http://news.cnet.com/8301-17938_105-20108319-1/final-fantasy-themed-ps3-reloaded/#ixzz1YQBprL00

That's only 24k less than what PS3 sold during all of December in Japan last year. And ironically enough PS3 is currently baseling quite close to its 2009 sales level in Japan.

 

I've presented my argument you just chose to foolishly ignore it (Microsoft more so) you're essentially saying you know more than them, without knowing what they have planned. I'm glad you think so highly of yourself, 1 million is a very small number to overcome when Microsoft will hook the casuals better this christmas than last, and don't come out with this 'Kinect isn't new' crap, wii wasn't new in its 4th christmas when it got 3.8 million NPD. Kinect is selling like a console, and it'll have its peak. It didn't peak with weeks of releasing, that's something you will need to come to terms with.

You underestimate the casuals, vastly.



 

It doesn't look like they will. MS can assert that they're going be #1, but that doesn't mean they will. Looking at last year's sales pattern, current sales pattern, this year's sales figures, etc. it doesn't look like they're gonna outsell the PS3 this holiday by enough to counter it's current loss.

They don't have the Slim, Halo, or the fresh Kinect like last year. Instead they basically have Gears 3 & the year-old Kinect. The only way I see them outselling the PS3 by the required units is if they cut the price. However, going based off what they've already said, which apparently is significant in the grand scheme of things, they're not going to be dropping the price.

Of course, MS seems highly confident in their future. With that said, I, & every one else, should use their own brains to make their own predictions. Hopefully basing those predictions off factors that have proven to hold merit.



Jay520 said:
It doesn't look like they will. MS can assert that they're going be #1, but that doesn't mean they will. Looking at last year's sales pattern, current sales pattern, this year's sales figures, etc. it doesn't look like they're gonna outsell the PS3 this holiday by enough to counter it's current loss.

They don't have the Slim, Halo, or the fresh Kinect like last year. Instead they basically have Gears 3 & the year-old Kinect. The only way I see them outselling the PS3 by the required units is if they cut the price. However, going based off what they've already said, which apparently is significant in the grand scheme of things, they're not going to be dropping the price.

Of course, MS seems highly confident in their future. With that said, I, & every one else, should use their own brains to make their own predictions. Hopefully basing those predictions off factors that have proven to hold merit.

this.