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Forums - General Discussion - VGC's Mafia Round 33 Uncharted Mayhem

radishhead said:
I can confirm that Baal didn't do anything last night, nor was visited by anyone - I probably should have chosen a better target


well after yesterday, baal was a good target for the night. You're limited in the extent to which you can clear people, but at least we know he wasn't the broken neck killer.

 

 



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Hephaestos said:
theprof00 said:
Now the question I have is, why nen?
Why would they risk being blocked at such a crucial point in the game?
Is someone now seriously afraid at having been copped? I remember Trucks saying that it would be a waste to either track him or cop him. So then why was the cop riskily killed? And who killed him? Obviously if Trucks was scum, then a different person could do the killing. If Trucks were to be scanned scum last night, it would be all over for him. So maybe he sat at home, and knowing he might be tracked, sent someone else to kill the cop, thereby tying up the two loose ends.

I see the motive, and the ability. The question is just "did that happen"?
Did Trucks send someone else to kill the cop that was most likely going to cop him, knowing that the cop could be protected? It smells desperate. So where does that desperation come from? From ABC's accusations? And what of the note in ABC's pocket? Is there infighting in the mafia team?

On the other hand, say the kill had been blocked. Right now we are at mylo, unless there is a third party SK. Had it been blocked, we'd have two lynches. Say the cop investigated the wrong person and cleared them. That would make 3 cleared townies, and two lynches. That would be a really awkward position, especially having just been accused. If they lynched the correct person in the next two lynches, that could be the end too.

The point of this all is that they could have killed anyone and driven to mylo. Possible cop targets were Baal and Trucks, I think.

I'm just worried that this is a set-up, without real proof we are going to need a lot of discussion.

How was last night more crucial than any other? the mafia is 4 for 1.... a rather good score

I'd wager that with nen and you being the only claimants for protection, the mafia got scared yesterday yes, but bold today.... that is, unless they had 2 kills tonigh as I theorised before... in which case, putting one of these on the cop would make perfect sense.

 

Moreover, you seem a bit too sure of the notion where trucks sends someone else to do the bidding... as if you had info. You did talk of a role on day 1 (?), but that seems a bit off here. I conceed that the idea has merit though and is a logical scenario, besides the different kill type. The only way your scenario is true is if you agree with truck's stone to be able to kill theory.... weren't you two the ones arguing about the stone day one?

I'm not pressing that point though, because I believe that the stone scenario is wrong... but I mentioned it as, well I can be wrong as was shown with linkz.

 

In my opinion, the safer kill target was radish last night, not asking doc protection and having just proven himself to have a good view of this round, and most especally, not likely to be countered by a miller claim, so i'm not as confident as you on the motive.

As you say, lots of discution ^^

I really don't understand your hesitance.  The theory makes sense. But you seem almost defensive. In fact, you end your response by saying that I'm the one who's suspicious while simultaneously praising Radish (resorting to flattery now?). You give credence to the theory, but say it's improbable given the kill flavor, and then turn on me. I'm just thinking, how did you even come to that conclusion? Because of a different kill type? But you yourself say that there might be two ways to kill. In that scenario, I would just say, OK so he went after (let's say radish), and his minion went after nen.

How  are you countering the theory at all? Your transition to me is even more awkwardly written. Talking about the stone, when I never said anything about a stone. I thought the rod could change people's roles. ABC was the one arguing about the stone, and that was just yesterday. You're obviously not one for details are you Heph?

My only hesitance on trucks and baal is that the theory just might not be what happened. Your hesitance is that I'm scum? That the flavor was different? That you think I argued about a stone? I'm not sure I agree with you at all Hephaestos. Maybe you should reread the thread before (blindly) using misinformation.



Baal, why didn't you have the ability to act last night?
What does that mean?



theprof00 said:
Hephaestos said:

How was last night more crucial than any other? the mafia is 4 for 1.... a rather good score

I'd wager that with nen and you being the only claimants for protection, the mafia got scared yesterday yes, but bold today.... that is, unless they had 2 kills tonigh as I theorised before... in which case, putting one of these on the cop would make perfect sense.

 

Moreover, you seem a bit too sure of the notion where trucks sends someone else to do the bidding... as if you had info. You did talk of a role on day 1 (?), but that seems a bit off here. I conceed that the idea has merit though and is a logical scenario, besides the different kill type. The only way your scenario is true is if you agree with truck's stone to be able to kill theory.... weren't you two the ones arguing about the stone day one?

I'm not pressing that point though, because I believe that the stone scenario is wrong... but I mentioned it as, well I can be wrong as was shown with linkz.

 

In my opinion, the safer kill target was radish last night, not asking doc protection and having just proven himself to have a good view of this round, and most especally, not likely to be countered by a miller claim, so i'm not as confident as you on the motive.

As you say, lots of discution ^^

I really don't understand your hesitance.  The theory makes sense. But you seem almost defensive. In fact, you end your response by saying that I'm the one who's suspicious while simultaneously praising Radish (resorting to flattery now?). You give credence to the theory, but say it's improbable given the kill flavor, and then turn on me. I'm just thinking, how did you even come to that conclusion? Because of a different kill type? But you yourself say that there might be two ways to kill. In that scenario, I would just say, OK so he went after (let's say radish), and his minion went after nen.

How  are you countering the theory at all? Your transition to me is even more awkwardly written. Talking about the stone, when I never said anything about a stone. I thought the rod could change people's roles. ABC was the one arguing about the stone, and that was just yesterday. You're obviously not one for details are you Heph?

My only hesitance on trucks and baal is that the theory just might not be what happened. Your hesitance is that I'm scum? That the flavor was different? That you think I argued about a stone? I'm not sure I agree with you at all Hephaestos. Maybe you should reread the thread before (blindly) using misinformation.

(Bolded is not relevent but answer to above.)

No, if you take the kill flavor as significant, as I do, your theory doesn't make sense. If you agree to the 2 kills, then yes, but then the whole motive to "stay home" crumbles as he could have been tracked... in which case he could have gone directly at nen himself as tracking was not a thread... moreover, Nen had a high probability to be doctored, so being the one attempting to kill him was the less risky than doing an other kill with regards to tracking. (if you fear being tracked, a target on which you fail is a negative track).

I dislike the lack of info today, combined to a lack of activity, giving us a potential rushed descision by the town based on the dying words of a mafia member... and you seemed to be leading the charge just in that direction.

About you, I was actually fishing to see if you had some info you weren't sharing. You've played all game as if you had a secret that put you aside... even asking nen not to clear you if he scanned you ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4244582 at the end), which doesn't make much sense as he was already outed as the cop. And yes, I did mistake rod for stone, but that's not the relevent point, you're diverting the subject, You and trucks were indeed the 2 pointing out it's importance day one, something that ABC took up yesterday. (you asked if anyone noticed something and Trucks answered and explained). However, I just digged up the posts and this one ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4232078 ) clearly exepts you as you say "Yes the stone is broken, but someone might have "become the rod" so to speak." ... the notion is clearly one of rod....which defeats the link between you two as trucks talked of stealing a gem ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4232035 ).

So to put it bluntly, proff why do you keep on acting as if you had extra info, seemingly a belief that you don't need protection (yet ask for doc protection... then complain that nen wasn't protected)

 

(and i'll be an ass by saying you did say something about a stone.. that it was broken :-p )



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theprof00 said:
Baal, why didn't you have the ability to act last night?
What does that mean?

It means my role restricted me from using any abilities last night.



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.

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how's the report going?



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Hephaestos said:
how's the report going?

Through 200 posts and 1 page on word.



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.

Hephaestos said:

(Bolded is not relevent but answer to above.)

1. No, if you take the kill flavor as significant, as I do, your theory doesn't make sense. If you agree to the 2 kills, then yes, but then the whole motive to "stay home" crumbles as he could have been tracked... in which case he could have gone directly at nen himself as tracking was not a thread... moreover, Nen had a high probability to be doctored, so being the one attempting to kill him was the less risky than doing an other kill with regards to tracking. (if you fear being tracked, a target on which you fail is a negative track).

2. I dislike the lack of info today, combined to a lack of activity, giving us a potential rushed descision by the town based on the dying words of a mafia member... and you seemed to be leading the charge just in that direction.

About you, I was actually fishing to see if you had some info you weren't sharing. You've played all game as if you had a secret that put you aside... even asking nen not to clear you if he scanned you ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4244582 at the end), which doesn't make much sense as he was already outed as the cop. And yes, I did mistake rod for stone, but that's not the relevent point, you're diverting the subject, You and trucks were indeed the 2 pointing out it's importance day one, something that ABC took up yesterday. (you asked if anyone noticed something and Trucks answered and explained). However, I just digged up the posts and this one ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4232078 ) clearly exepts you as you say "Yes the stone is broken, but someone might have "become the rod" so to speak." ... the notion is clearly one of rod....which defeats the link between you two as trucks talked of stealing a gem ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4232035 ).

So to put it bluntly, proff why do you keep on acting as if you had extra info, seemingly a belief that you don't need protection (yet ask for doc protection... then complain that nen wasn't protected)

 

(and i'll be an ass by saying you did say something about a stone.. that it was broken :-p )

1. That is not true. Being tracked killing someone does not result in a negative result when it is doctored. Tracking always clearly says who they went to. It is the same as with a watcher who sees both a killer and doctor visit the same person. As to the different kill, don't you think that perhaps a one-shot ability might be a valid solution? Further, perhaps it could be an unblockable kill. I would take that as less risky, for sure, alleviating some of the pressure that I see. It's a valid hypothesis, but the argument is "which method is what happened". Is it that the killer killed without pressure, or killed because of pressure? That, I agree, is debateable.

2. My hidden info... If I could guarantee doc protection on myself I would share it. However, as another problem, I'm still unsure as to what the role is that visited me. If I could out the role and successfully lynch, I would do it. But at this juncture, it could severely bite town in the ass if I get that person mislynched. I will say though, that the role that targeted me failed because my role is un-________-able as a passive. Day 2, I was trying to get said role to use their power again, but they never did. As far as that person's alignment, I am fairly confident that he is town.

Secondly, to answer the related line at the bottom of your post, requesting doc protection for two people generally ensures that neither are killed, as a 50/50 chance is too risky to take. My assertion that nen should have been protected was a case of applied pressure. I wanted to know if Baal was trustworthy, and at this point, I believe he is. This is especially true when Radish says Baal did nothing, yet in the timeline, Baal answered first. That is good enough evidence for me to believe that he is trustworthy, as he could have lied. Further, I believed he was the doctor, so his answer is also trustworthy given all the role X #'s we have seen. (1 shot vig, 3 shot cop, 2 shot blocker).

This culminates in a group in which I'm certain of everyone except you and Trucks. Perhaps one of you is innocent, though, but which one? You both seem unconcerned with one another. I also think that it's possible that ABC was distancing Trucks using wild accusations.

 

As far as what to do today, let's talk some more and figure out what's what. We still haven't received Baal's promised report, haven't heard from Vette, and have heard little from Radish besides the claim.



theprof00 said:

1. That is not true. Being tracked killing someone does not result in a negative result when it is doctored. Tracking always clearly says who they went to. It is the same as with a watcher who sees both a killer and doctor visit the same person. As to the different kill, don't you think that perhaps a one-shot ability might be a valid solution? Further, perhaps it could be an unblockable kill. I would take that as less risky, for sure, alleviating some of the pressure that I see. It's a valid hypothesis, but the argument is "which method is what happened". Is it that the killer killed without pressure, or killed because of pressure? That, I agree, is debateable.

2. My hidden info... If I could guarantee doc protection on myself I would share it. However, as another problem, I'm still unsure as to what the role is that visited me. If I could out the role and successfully lynch, I would do it. But at this juncture, it could severely bite town in the ass if I get that person mislynched. I will say though, that the role that targeted me failed because my role is un-________-able as a passive. Day 2, I was trying to get said role to use their power again, but they never did. As far as that person's alignment, I am fairly confident that he is town.

Secondly, to answer the related line at the bottom of your post, requesting doc protection for two people generally ensures that neither are killed, as a 50/50 chance is too risky to take. My assertion that nen should have been protected was a case of applied pressure. I wanted to know if Baal was trustworthy, and at this point, I believe he is. This is especially true when Radish says Baal did nothing, yet in the timeline, Baal answered first. That is good enough evidence for me to believe that he is trustworthy, as he could have lied. Further, I believed he was the doctor, so his answer is also trustworthy given all the role X #'s we have seen. (1 shot vig, 3 shot cop, 2 shot blocker).

This culminates in a group in which I'm certain of everyone except you and Trucks. Perhaps one of you is innocent, though, but which one? You both seem unconcerned with one another. I also think that it's possible that ABC was distancing Trucks using wild accusations.

 

As far as what to do today, let's talk some more and figure out what's what. We still haven't received Baal's promised report, haven't heard from Vette, and have heard little from Radish besides the claim.

2) An insighfull post. thanks for the honesty.

1) By negative result I mean "visited but no death", like what radish got for baal, which only says that he didn't break a neck ^^. Yes the one shot is the the theory I see as the most credible. notice how the abilities are 1 2 3 ... i'm guessing wonk had fun there, though these are also minor roles (cop is minor with 2 millers).

3) I believe we're fairly unconcered by one an other because of linkz... we saw the same reasons to lynch him, when others doubted... I'm still confident that given the info the lynch was the correct descision (the power was only revealed late... and without it's description... then again roleblocker kind of traped linkz).

 

I disagree with your notion that baal's quick answer is a proof of honesty... why would he have lied? A scum that stayed at home will just say that he stayed at home. And actually he'll be quick about it because he doesn't have the worry of keeping in the grey about having a power or not... and look at radish, his shot was watching last night, on top of his unlimited tracking, his role is important, as should be with 2 millers.

What i'm gonna say is a bit odd since I used it the other way against linkz... but after looking up the names in the wiki.... Does anyone besides trucks claims to have a bad guy's name as town? Hat was a charater that worked with nathan, raja was "best friends with nathan" in the past, my name is a good guy too... ABC was not such a character and was mafia... we haven't seen any real name =/= alignment. or am I mistaken on the names so far?



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theprof00 said:
Also, I'll claim if we lynch nen.

Does this still hold if Nen is night killed?



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.