WiseOwl said:
Nintendo will dominate another generation with their 3DS and Wii-U. The 3DS slow sales will get better. Right now sales are being split between the 3DS and DS. The 3DS is out and has the hardware lead and the PSP Vita will not surpass it. Nintendo 3DS will have a (5) five million (+)plus lead before the PSP Vita launch. Sony has already said that they are in no hurry to release Playstation 4. Nintendo will launch the Wii-U next year and by Christmas they will clean up with no other hardware on the market to challenge them. Sony wants to gain revenue that it lost with the Playstation 3 and is in no hurry to release new hardware. I know Microsoft is working on their next console and will likely launch it in the year 2013. They may launch their system fourth quarter next year but no 3rd party have said they have dev kits meaning they will not have a launch lineup. No hardcore gamer can refuse the new Wii-U with Killer Freaks game. |
Their were two leaks, then the publishers denied having kits. However the fact that both these leaks came from respectable sites and apparently good sources I wouldn't doubt theirs a possibility the leaks were true. Nintendo in the past has out right lied to us and said a product didn't exist and the developers claimed they did not have kits. Then one week or so later bamb Iwata announces a new DS model or console.
Its PR, developers have signed NDA's and if Microsoft tells them to deny having kits they are going to deny having kits. Infact Microsoft themselves started hiring developers for next generation software like two years ago. A story they quickly squashed by editing the ad. Gamasutra reported the ad and the news was taken down fairly quickly. But fact is if Microsoft was already hiring software developers for next gen products like two years ago, it would make sense that Microsoft could launch Nex-Box in 2012/13 with a big line-up!
As for 3DS sales, no matter how you look at it they aren't impressive. DS was sold out everywhere when it launched I had mine pre-ordered if I hadn't I wouldn't have gotten one for months. The things flew off the shelves for like two years being in short supply. Demand was outstripping supply big time. With 3DS the PSP actually beat it a few weeks that is very sad and definatly not a good thing.
As for telling who's going to win I think that depends on hardware power pricing and release date. If Nex-Box releases in Christmas 2012 which some are rumouring and is more powerful then WiiU at the same price. it could lead to a very close fight for Nintendo especially if Kinect 2.0 launches against the WiiU controller.
I think its too early to predict a home console winner. Handheld wise I think Vita could win if Sony plays their cards right. 3DS still has a shot but Nintendo has to market the shit out of it and convince consumers to upgrade from their DSi's.
