Yakuzaice said:
You're talking about 'early adopters' and 'loyal fanbase', but then you are only looking at the shipped numbers. Those people had nothing to do with the shipped numbers (well except Japan where they missed their forecast) because that was the launch shipment. It had to do with both Nintendo and retailers being overly optimistic. By Nintendo's own numbers, they show a sell-through of only 1.64 million (not including a handful of countries like Canada I believe), and unless the US April numbers are great, they aren't getting through that first shipment anytime soon. Both Japan and Europe showed a precarious drop after launch. In Europe it was below the 2010 DS numbers by week two, and was down to the 2011 DS numbers by week 3. 3DS plus DS in week 3 being roughly equal to the 2010 DS numbers. Just curious, what are you expecting the April-June shipment to be, and what do you think Nintendo expected 6 months ago? As for Reggie's comment, do you really believe that? That they are stockpiling for the winter in March? I'm sure retailers would be thrilled with the idea of having stock rotting on their shelves for half a year. Reggie's comment was just spin, plain and simple. Of course they don't want demand to outstrip supply, but they were definitely expecting better sell-through. If you don't believe me, here are some quotes from their investor briefing. In reference to Japan The US And Europe. |
I decided to check the numbers again I remember the Nintendo announcement of selling 3.6 million units. A quick google search for articles shows tons of articles saying Nintendo sold 3.6 million units. I would like to see a source saying that Nintendo only shipped 3.6-million and did not sell that many units.As far as I can tell the official sales results were 3.6 million.
As for Nintendo not meeting expectations. Falling short 400K is actually a big failure and since launch month sales have continued to dip. I think Nintendo had alot more faith in their die hard user base and early adopters then they could actually count on.
As for Reggie spinning, his statement I was refering too happened right nearby the launch. It was not a spin for damage control. I'd have to take Reggies word for it, because the facts back his story. Reggie stated that Nintendo wasn't advertising much to keep demand from surpassing supply. I fully think that this was Nintendo's strategy and he was being honest.
As I have said before Nintendo was playing with fire. In my opinion they should have launched a 500-million dollar ad campaign and market the shit out of the 3DS. Nintendo thought that demand would be high enough without a huge ad campaign.
I think with product awareness so low and sales waining that Nintendo will launch a massive ad campaign this winter to boost sales and fend off the NGP. Do I honestly think Nintendo is stock piling for this winter? Not purposely I think Nintendo honestly thought the 3DS would sell itself and that word of mouth and early adopters(Hardcore fans) would be enough to keep sales growing.
Nintendo's off to a bad start, they had a bad strategy. The question is what will Nintendo do to fix the situation. They have a great peice of hardware with the right marketing they could have another DS/Wii on their hands. Also Iwata recently talked about getting a third party to market their future devices starting soon.
It will be interesting to see how Nintendo markets the 3DS this winter!
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer











