The price cut alone won't be quite enough methinks and, to be honest, compared to what I (and VGC, apparently) expected, Kinect rather underperformed for the quarter. I don't believe it'll be much of a selling force henceforth, though I have no idea what kind of effect software will have on it.

I could easily be wrong, though, since this is subjective opinion rather than relatively objective analysis, and wouldn't be entirely shocked to see it end up at like 13m or so.

I think it will sell another 20-25ish mil LTD in Americas. Maybe another 15 in EMEAA. I'll be generous and round up Japan as .5 mil

It will pas 90 million at some point.

i went with 100 + M.  if launch to peak is over 50M then peak to dead ought to be 50M too right? 

eh, there is probably a flaw in the logic but whatever.  things change so fast this gen that applying logic seems like a flaw in of itself.  right now it is highly dependent on nintnedo's upcoming hardware.  will it start a new gen or just extend the current HD gen?  i'm going with the latter which is partly why i think 100 + M isn't out of the question.

85-90 million seems about right. Although as you say, it really comes down to how long MS support it after its successor comes out.

90 m is a safe bet IMHO

80-85mil I think

i believe it will be the only console this gen that doesnt cross the 100M mark

Going with 95 - 105 million. I think this because we haven't seen the hardcore buy into Kinect yet. Game support of Kinect is low. Add a price cut on both Kinect and 360, plus the release of new games will generate another mass sellout.  I'm sure that there is a Ace in there pocket that they well reveal at E3. Maybe buying up some first party studio's. I'm sure that they are not going to leave there hardcore with out games and support. MS I'm sure heard all of the sh=t talking going on about them forgetting there core audience. They are not stupid and understand that it is going to take both kinect and the hardcore to be strong in the future to continue selling a good amount of systems. Only time can tell but I think that we will see another record year at christmas time. I think we will finally see a real price drop. Most of what I talked about will be this year so going into the future support for kinect will grow and keep people's interest for the rest of the generation, along with some new core IP's and price cuts. I think that we will see no less then 85 million if there is complications on the way.

Gears 3 I think will move some systems, you can say that it might not but the beta is awsome. Word of mouth is going to spread about it's awsomeness. So I think it was really smart for them to move the game back. Testing the beta and making adjustments is necessary for the game. You can tell that they are working on it.  They combined the first and second games overall pluses and I think are going to hit gold. SO a lot to think about.

I said 90-95 million over all. It's going to sell like crazy once it drops below $100 in a couple of years. Microsoft still plane on keeping it on the market until 2016.

so you  come to get a reaction or to stealth flame. Your answer goes around the question and then goes onto almost insult 360 in a minimal way with out any reasons on why you think this way. GOOD JOB.