Not one chance in Hell. If the reveal of the Wii's successor is explosive enough they're going to be scrambling to lash together new hardware more frantically than any hardware makers in the history of the medium.

i hope they wait till 2014 with their new console, would really justify the 650€ i spent on the ps3 when i got it day 1.

If they really wait until 2014, they are both sunk.

I really hope it's true. I am in no rush to buy new hardware, and I feel the games are fine as they are. Plus, technology hasn't advanced so much that there is a huge difference, IMO. In 2014 the jump between gens should be as noticeable as in previous gens. Also, I don't think Nintendo is in direct competition with MS and SONY, their audiences don't overlap that much, we shall see if that remains true next gen. The fact that Nintendo's next console may be just as powerful or slightly more than PS3/X360 also makes me believe MS and SONY will be fine till 2014. Finally, both consoles have still price cuts left in them, so sales should remain strong for the next year or two, and at least decent in 2013/14.

You honeslty expect the Wii's successor to be that powerful?  I think it'll be roughly on par with or slightly ahead of current consoles.  If so I highly doubt either MS or Sony will be in any rush to make a new console.

Who said anything about power? Not me. Power barely enters into the equation. Nintendo has a chance to redefine the third-party ecosystem on its own terms.

Power did not stop the Wii. If people are excited for its successor, MS and  Sony will act. No questions asked.

It really is going to come down to the specs for Nintendo next console (Let's call it N6 to make it easy.  If it is significantly more powerful than PS3 or 360, say 2 times more powerful, AND they get a 2 year head start, I think the other two will be a bit concerned.  It would be easier for Nintendo to court 3rd parties to create better games this time around and give them the security they need to know that N6 is powerful enough to be here for the long haul.   That is a big IF, however.  If this is the case, I could see the other two's consoles being more powerful but not so much that games couldn't be ported from their consoles to N6.  With the large install base, due to the 2 year headstart, it would make sense to port games to N6.  It would be similar to the PS2 vs the original XBOX.  XBOX outclassed the PS2 specs on every level by a pretty good margin, and yet developers could still get the PS2 version of the games looking and playing pretty close to the same.

The second scenario involves a Nintendo Console that is only slightly more powerful than the other two currect gen systems.  This would be bad for Nintendo because once again 3rd parties will be less than enthused about working on old hardware which would give MS and Sony a chance to retain the core gaming audience.  I don't think 3rd parties necessarily dislike developing for Nintendo systems, but rather it's been a case of Nintendo limiting the hardware in some way that makes porting more difficult.  For the N64 it was cartridges, the GameCube had those tiny DVDs, and the Wii's specs were not up to snuff.  Get rid of the bottlenecks and the developers would return IMO.

I don't see a Dreamcast situation happening either way.  SEGA was on the rocks for the better part of 6 years (going back to all of the add-ons for the Genesis) and didn't have the resources or brand loyalty to carry them through.  Nintendo is in a position of power despite the slumping Wii sales.  They could launch a significantly more powerful machine than PS3 or 360 for $300 - $350 in 2012 and turn a profit from day one.

Honestly, without knowing what form the N6 will take it's impossible to speculate.  But it sure is fun anyways!

i agree with most of the people here

im not done with ps3 yet so 2014 is good with me

I don't want to even hear about the PS4 until I see Final Fantasy Versus XIII in my hands

Please, Khuutra, elaborate on that...sounds interesting!