I bought the gamecube/wii at launch because my favorite games are Nintendo games and they have came out at a reasonable price point for each. I bought an Xbox at $150 because it was part of a decent Christmas bundles. I'll buy a 360 or PS3 at some point in this generation. When the prices drop, if I know if blu ray will win, and if either gets a big exclusive is what will decide it.
I disagree. While we know what Sony/Xbox/Nintendo games will hit each console, we don't know what new IPs will pop up (Bioshock) and be exclusive. We also don't know how 3rd parties will react. So far MGS has remained exclusive and GTA is not coming to the Wii, but if the Wii continues to sell, by year 4 or 5 we don't know what big third party franchises will move over.
The reason I'm waiting on the PS3/Xbox 360 is mainly price though. My gaming budget is $360 a year. I usually get the consoles as Christmas presents and then buy 20-35 games a year. I purchase alot of games used so and then resell most games after I get tired of them. If you have the patience the best time to buy a console is at the end of it's life cycle as I plan on doing with 360/PS3. In a couple of years I can probably get both brand new for $400. Not withstanding I could get 10 starter games to go with it for less than $200. So for $600, I'll get most of the games I wanted for those systems and those systems. At one time this was the price of a PS3. Then I can purchase any other games I missed while I'm waiting for the PS4, Xbox 720, Wii 2 to come down to reasonable prices. So bottom line, I just don't think current prices are substainable and I don't think the entertainment I'd get from them make it worthwhile. But after a while it'll be worth it. I know I'll miss out on the whole online thing but I'm rarely play online anyways.