stfu

 Wow.... just wow.  Anyway back on topic, I think that its possible for the PS3 to catch up late (Christmas) 08.  But if not it will probably 2009.  To me its looking like N'Gai Croal (sp) is right in that "everyone" will have a Wii as a primary or secondary console, but many will have one of the other two consoles as well.  Does it become a sort of three way market?

BLASPHEMER! FEEL THE GREAT WRATH OF MY TSUNAMI, YOU TREACHEROUS, DASTARDLY DASTARD.

Enough of that please. Keeps posts RELEVANT to the thread, and not just spouting off some random garbage attacking other users!

 The numbers need to be crunched more fully to really drive home how deep the hole for the PS3 is. Rocketpig has touched on it here, but I'll elaborate. Let's start with a few assumptions that heavily favor the PS3: let's assume the 360 will sell 25 percent less hardware next year compared to this one. That seems unlikely, given further price drops and an increasingly strong library, but we'll just be nice here. This year, the 360 has sold almost exactly 7.7 million units worldwide this year as of December 22nd: let's be nice and assume it only sells 300k worlwide in the last 9 days of the year. In other words, we're at about 8 million worldwide for this year, on the dot.

25 percent less than that is 6 million for the year of 2008, worlwide. The PS3 is currently 7.28 million units behind the 360. Now, the numbers:

The PS3 has sold 7.17 million units this year, and thus will likely end up around 7.5 million units at actual year's end.  

The PS3 sold (approximately) 7.5 million units this year worldwide.
That is 144k per week, on average, worldwide
That is 577k per month, on average, worldwide

To outsell the 360 within the next year, the PS3 needs to sell approximately 13.28 million systems. 

That is  256k systems per week, on average, worldwide.
That is 1,024k systems per month, on average, worldwide.

 For differential calculations:

The PS3 would need to outsell the 360 by approximately 140k every week.
The PS3 would need to outsell the 360 by approximately 520k every week month. 

In effect, the 360 would need to see a significant reduction in sales (for no particular reason) and the PS3 would need to nearly double its output to accomplish this feat. In addition, the PS3 needs to outsell the 360 by 140k a week next year. It just isn't going to happen, folks.
 

if the ps3 wants to pass the 360 in worldwide sales
it needs to sell almost 8 million units more than the 360
so that means it needs to outsell the 360 with around 160 units a week worldwide

while the ps3's outselling the 360 in europe and japan, the outselling that the 360 gives the ps3 in NA prevents the ps3 closing in fast on the 360 in ww sales

so it all depends on how the NA market will do
but the change must be quite great there will the ps3 pass the 360 ww coming year

well i actually just said quite the same as bodhesatva i see now

who cares if the ps3 passes the 360 or not? at this rate we all know its not going to end up 360 120mil and ps3 24mil. this gen i dont think there will be more than a 10 mil gap between the 360 and ps3. and that gap wont seem as big by generations end.

End of 08 is too soon. I'm going to say March 09.

Nope. The 360 will take off with GTA IV in EU and the difference between the 2 will increase in the US even more. MGS will sell as much as it did last time while Killzone 2 turns out to be as good a game as the 1st one.

Then FF and GT is delayed yet again, while MS releases Ninja Gaiden 2, Fable 2 and the biggie Gears of war 2 for 2008 holidays and with that cross the 30 million mark while PS3 fanoys are heard shouting "Wait til FF and GT comes out"