Wishfull thinking...

REACH is not easily reaching so Gears will not either

No, 7 million is possible though. I think the first week will be somewhere around 2 million, which is awesome.

Wtf.. Reach has been out about 5 months... :/

Imo Gears 3 has a chance, but sublime one, when all is said is done, I think it has a great chance to break 7m, but will struggle after that.

considering the line up of 2011 it can possibly reach 8 million but not 10.

I'm going to say no.  My guess is 7-7.5 max with bundling.  Of course, that is still damn good.

@ NotStan

Well, people keep sayin NPD show we are overtracking Reach.  But still, it would probably put it on par with Halo 3.  In the end though, I don't think it will keep the same legs as Halo 3 and sell ~11.5 mil, but it should still definitely cross 10 mil.

I think last time someone bothered to check, Reach was tracking about ~500k above Halo 3, and the main reason for the initial sales dip was the fact that 3 got the holiday boost a bit earlier. Even if it is at about 7m, it still has the whole of 2011 and maybe even half of 2012 to do 3m. I just find it a bit stupid when people expect even games like Halo Reach, an exclusive to cross 10M at the rate that COD does, it's nowhere as mainstream to do so. Just stealth trolling if anything, imo.

I'd say no, 8 million at the every best

Well, COD being a multiplat would actually go against its chances of selling over 10 mil in such a short period of time since it can split the game's audience.  But you are right, COD has become this sales beast lately and I don't think anyone was really expecting it.  I mean the first COD of this gen, COD3, I think sold like 5.5 mil total across 4 consoles.  Now, it's selling twice that on the 360 alone.  And I think you're right, Reach should cross 10 mil by early/mid 2012.  If you look, it took Halo 3 about 2 years to do it, too.

Nah. The first 2 sold almost exactly the same amount and this one is doing nothing new. And it's not like this is Halo or God of War. Nobody cares about the story or characters so the trilogy effect will be minimal.