This week (pre-Black friday) Wii is down YoY by 19%. If Wii carries that through for the remainder of the year one would expect Wii to achieve 4 weeks selling a million.
There are good reasons to think Wii will be down by a considerably larger % for some weeks this holidays, but even at 30% down YoY it can still make 4 million selling weeks.
I think the particularly vulnerable weeks this year ar the 2 weeks post BF. Those 2 weeks last year sold substantially more Wiis than on BF week, whereas the usual pattern is for HW to have a drop the week immediately following BF, then a lift almost back to BF levels. That could then mean if Wii just scrapes 1 million on BF week it gets 3x million selling weeks.
BF week has the potential to come in under 1 million, because of the 19% YoY decrease applies to BF week then that comes in at the low 900Ks. So if BF week doesn't bag 1 million it could mean a 2x million sales week year for Wii.
I think 1 week only at a million is unlikely. And I can't see Wii failing to sell a million on any week.
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