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Forums - Sony - Predict Lifetime sales for current and upcoming exclusives!

Uncharted 2 5.0 million: Another Xmas, GOTY edition, Uncharted 3, Will sell 4m without GH
Heavy Rain 2.0 million: Will surely sell at least another 500k. Surpassed lots of expectaions.
God of War 3 4.5 million: First Xmas, Immediate Classic, European/Japan sales slow it down.
Gran Turismo 5      9.0 million: Will sell good in EU/JP. Not sure about NA though
LittleBigPlanet 2   4.0 million: Looks better than LBP. 3D/MOVE. lacks XMAS sales to hit 4.5.
Killzone 3                3.0 million: More casual than KZ2. 3D/MOVE will help. 
Motorstorm 3

1.0 million: It won't get overshadowed MS2 in holiday 08. 3d will help. 

Twisted Metal 1.5 million: 
inFamous 2                   2.5 million: Looks Way better in inF1. 
SOCOM 4               1.0 million: lot of SOCOM fans . 3D/MOVE. Will outsell Confrontaion
Resistance 3 2.0 million: 
The Last Guardian 2.0 million: Will sell like Heavy Rain, but will have better JP sales.   3D/MOVE?
Uncharted 3 5.0 million: Will most likely outsell U2.  3D/MOVE?
FinalFantasyV13 6.0 million: Don't know if this will stay exclusive. But will sell slightly less than XIII
AGENT 2 - 6 million: Don't know anything about this game.

I'd like to note that holiday 2011 we won't be seeing an Assassin's Creed game. Also MW3 will not be made by infinity ward, so I expect lower quality and lower sales. That opens up more possibilities for other games in that time period like R3, U3, TLG, etc.

EDIT: I'd also like to note that most of these games will have better marketing than earlier iterations. 

EDIT: I'm probably too low for U2, U3, GOW3, HR, and LBP2



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were is Socom4

and Socom4 will have long legs due to robust Multiplayer (hoperfully)

so i predict 3-5 million for S4



Of Course That's Just My Opinion, I Could Be Wrong

mchaza said:

were is Socom4

and Socom4 will have long legs due to robust Multiplayer (hoperfully)

so i predict 3-5 million for S4

Didn't include because most people on this site don't seem to care for SOCOM, but I'll add it.



Uncharted 2 : 5.0 Million
God of War 3 : 5.0 - 5.5 Million
Gran Turismo 5 : 11.5 - 12 Million
LittleBigPlanet 2 : 5.0 - 5.5 Million
Killzone 3 : 6.0 Million
Infamous 2 : 2.5 - 3.0 Million
Socom 4 : 2.0 Million
Resistance 3 : 3.0 - 3.5 Million
Last Guardian : 1.5 - 2.0 Million
Uncharted 3 : 5.5 - 6.0 Million

Some of my predictions may be pretty high but many PS3 exclusive sales since the Slim launch has surprised me.



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Uncharted 2 4.8/5.2 million (it has legs)
Heavy Rain 2 million (Move may help dunno)
God of War 3 4.2/4.4 million (hope I'm wrong here and that it does more)
Gran Turismo 5 11.5/12.5 million (gonna be huge)
LittleBigPlanet 2 5/5.5 million (when I see what can be done in the beta... omg)
Killzone 3 4.5/5 million (hopes it does more, the franchise deserves it)
inFamous 2 3.5/4 million (the game is a huge improvement over the first one)
SOCOM 4 2.5/4 million (yea the gap is huge...)
Resistance 3 2/2.5 million (the first screens were meh)
The Last Guardian 1.5/2 million (like ICO and SotC, it's gonna blow mind up but sell "bad" :( )
Uncharted 3 5.5/6 million (this franchise will only grow bigger)


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Uncharted 2 5.0 million
Heavy Rain 2.3 million
God of War 3 4.6 million
Gran Turismo 5 12.6 million
LittleBigPlanet 2 4.5 million
Killzone 3 4 million
inFamous 2 2.5 million
SOCOM 4 2.5 million
Resistance 3 3.5 million
The Last Guardian 2.0 million 
Uncharted 3

6 million

Final Fantasy XIII Versus 7 million
Agent 8m(it might sell more but won't sell less)


Solid_Snake4RD said:
Agent 8m(it might sell more but won't sell less)


High expectations eh?



What about Twisted Metal? That's the best game on the PS3's 2011 lineup.



You're not limited to the games I listed.



Jay520 said:
mchaza said:

were is Socom4

and Socom4 will have long legs due to robust Multiplayer (hoperfully)

so i predict 3-5 million for S4

Didn't include because most people on this site don't seem to care for SOCOM, but I'll add it.

Zipper Interactive is a SCE World Wide Studio , they should care 



Of Course That's Just My Opinion, I Could Be Wrong