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Forums - Sales - Big Three Shipment Prediction for July-Sept 2010 Results

ethomaz on 20 October 2010

Later this month we will see the financial results of Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft for July-Sept 2010. With that we will finally have the numbers of hardware/software shipped during the period.

So what's your prediction?

Schedule for reference:

http://gamrfeed.vgchartz.com/story/82448/publisher-earnings-calendar-for-july-sept-2010-results/

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 04th Jul 2010 to 02nd Oct 2010:

Console Wii PS3 X360 PSP DS
Total 1,945,518 1,977,117 2,803,867 1,152,999 3,420,809

VGChartz preview shippiment for quarter:

HW June 10' Q Sept 10' Q FY Goal SW June 10' Q Sept 10' Q FY Goal
X360 1.5m 3.2m ?? X360 N.A N.A. N.A.
PS3 2.4m 2.8m 15m PS3 24.8m 27.2m 135m ??
PSP 1.2m 1.3m 8m PSP 9.2m 9.8m 40m??
PS2 1.6m 1.1m 6m PS2 3.4m 3.1m 15m??
Wii 3.0m 2.7m 17.5m Wii 28.2m 30.8m 165m*
DS 3.2m 4.0m 19.5m DS 22.4m 24.6m 110m

* 135m without bundled software, 165m is estimated to included bundles
**?? Sony didn't break down the 195m ish estimate between its platforms - and so I've estimated it.



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ethomaz on 20 October 2010

Let me begin.

Wii: 2.5M
PS3: 3.2M 3.0M
360:  3.5M
PSP: 2.0M
DS: 3.8M

Edit - Fixed PS3 number.



GodOfWar_3ever on 20 October 2010
ethomaz said:

Let me begin.

Wii: 2.5M
PS3: 3.2M
360:  3.5M
PSP: 2.5M
DS: 3.8M

Why so high for PS3 ? Last year, there was the Slim launch for this quarter !



jarrod on 20 October 2010
ethomaz said:

Let me begin.

Wii: 2.5M
PS3: 3.2M
360:  3.5M
PSP: 2.5M
DS: 3.8M

Woah... you're expecting quite the channel stuffing from Sony then? :/

My guess is...

 

360: 2.5m

Wii: 2.4m

PS3: 2.2m

DS: 3.8m

PSP: 1.5m



KillerMan on 20 October 2010

PS3: It needs to be remembered that according vgchartz Sony really stuffed channels last quarter as we have over 2 million difference between shipped and sold. If we were right Sony has shipped only something like 1.0-1.5 million consoles this quarter. I personally think we have undertracked PS3 ( in developing countries and maybe in some parts of Europe) as I can't see Sony shipping so few consoles as they have stated that they are on track to beat that 15 million shipped figure for this fiscal year. My personal prediction is 2.2 million.

X360: We have been pretty spot on with NPD numbers at least so here I am gonna go with almost same numbers as we have. 3 million shipped.

Wii: Same as X360. Gonna go with something like 2.2 million.

PSP: Has been decline in long time but still vgchartz has been undertracking it for years as difference between shipped and sold in something like 5 million. 1.5 million is my guess.

PS2: Same as PSP. Vgchartz numbers are off a lot. 1.5 million shipped mainly in developing countries

DS: Still selling well but in decline. At least last month we overtracked DS in US according NPD. Still going with vgchartz numbers. 3.5 million shipped.

Edit: It seems that  PS3 numbers are adjusted from last time I saw them. Doesn't change my PS3 prediction though.



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ethomaz on 20 October 2010
GodOfWar_3ever said:
ethomaz said:

Let me begin.

Wii: 2.5M
PS3: 3.0M
360:  3.5M
PSP: 2.5M
DS: 3.8M

Why so high for PS3 ? Last year, there was the Slim launch for this quarter !

Fixed. I guess Sony just sent a little less than last year.



Ping_ii on 20 October 2010

LOL my prediction is there will be "SONY IS STUFFING CHANNEL"  excuse again. =D =D =D



ethomaz on 20 October 2010
KillerMan said:

PS3: It needs to be remembered that according vgchartz Sony really stuffed channels last quarter as we have over 2 million difference between shipped and sold. If we were right Sony has shipped only something like 1.0-1.5 million consoles this quarter. I personally think we have undertracked PS3 ( in developing countries and maybe in some parts of Europe) as I can't see Sony shipping so few consoles as they have staded that they are on track to beat that 15 million shipped figure for this fiscal year. My personal prediction is 2.2 million.

VGC adjusted number for PS3 and now the difference between Shipped and Sales for last quarter was just 1M.

LOL I'm so high with PSP... 2.0M is more accetable.



jarrod on 20 October 2010
Ping_ii said:

LOL my prediction is there will be "SONY IS STUFFING CHANNEL"  excuse again. =D =D =D


They stuffed MASSIVELY with PSP early on, in an attempt to keep pace with DS in 2005/early 2006.  Outside that though Sony's been pretty good about (not) channel stuffing this gen.



Lafiel on 20 October 2010
jarrod said:
Ping_ii said:

LOL my prediction is there will be "SONY IS STUFFING CHANNEL"  excuse again. =D =D =D


They stuffed MASSIVELY with PSP early on, in an attempt to keep pace with DS in 2005/early 2006.  Outside that though Sony's been pretty good about (not) channel stuffing this gen

still it was brought up after every quarterly report lol