Yep, Kinect Adventues counts. If it was a forced bundle game like Wii Sports, I might not include it, but since there options about which 360 SKU to include I think it is fair to count it.

Updated the 2nd post with the data for the week ending Oct 2nd.

Only games that were new this week and were greater than 30k were added, so the systems don't have 5 games yet.

Fifa gave the HD consoles a great early start, similar to last year the Wii starts this contest way behind.

Also I will continue to accept predictions for the next week so if you would like to be added go ahead and make your predictions.

Well, let's see...

Wii:
Wii Party (~5.5m)
Donkey Kong Country Returns (~5m, assuming 3 weeks of JP sales)
Just Dance 2 (~2.5m)
Epic Mickey (~2m)
Kirby's Epic Yarn (~1.5m)

~16.5mil total.

360:
CoD: Black Ops (~7.5m)
Assassin's Creed (~3m)
Fable III (~2.5m)
Fallout: New Vegas (~2m)
Kinect Adventures (~2m?)

~17mil total.

PS3:
CoD: Black Ops (~6m)
Gran Turismo 5 (~4.5m)
Fifa 11 (~2.5m)
Assassin's Creed (~2.5m)
PES 2011 (~2m)

~17.5mil total.

So, looking like PS3 > 360 > Wii.

Huh, wouldn't have thought. Wii's release timing for its games really hurts it for this race. PS3 / 360 should end up pretty close, depending on Kinect's performance (which I'm pessimistic for)

The 2nd post is updated with the most recent sales data.

I will no longer be adding new predictions to the chart, but you are still free to make and discuss predictions in the thread.

After two weeks of data what do you think of the contest? Are you still confident in your orignal predictions?

I'm thinking with Wii Party's low Western debut my Wii total is a little too high, and the game is too high up in my predictions for the top 5 Wii games.

After just a couple days...

My predictions are probably heavily overshot. Wii about 2-3 million off (weaker DKCR, WP), and still not sure on the PS3 (thanks, GT5 delay)

If I had to guess now, would change to 360 > PS3 > Wii