By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Reach vs Move & GT5 vs Kinect. Console sales prediction thread.

CChaos on 14 September 2010

Honestly, I can't see Kinect or Move moving near as many consoles as Reach and GT5. The games are massively well regarded franchises while the motion controls are...well, motion controls. The gap there is massive.

I mean, show me a PS3 owner who can look at the Move lineup and think, "Man, those are awesome, I'm totally getting a Move for these games!" True, other games are getting controls patched in, but the initial lineup feels like a bit of an insult to PS3ers.



Around the Network
mundus6 on 14 September 2010
postofficebuddy said:

In the short term Reach will obviously push more hardware than Move but Move will obviously have a larger longterm impact on PS3 sales, primarily in EMEAA. As far as launch weeks are concerned I think it'll look something like this:

360: 275k-325k (Mostly comes down to how many Reach bundles they produce. I'm assuming it'll be around 100k like the MW2 bundle)

PS3: 175k-225k (around 100k in EMEAA)

For Kinect vs. GT5 week it's much harder to say. It really comes down to how well received Kinect is by the general public. And also how heavily GT5 is bundled in every region. Based on Japan sales alone I'd say at least 350k is guaranteed on GT5 week. But like I said, it's very hard to judge.

360: 250k-400k

PS3: 350k-500k

Yeah, I know it's a really wide spread. I'll be able to make a better judgment once we get closer to release. As far as longterm impact is concerned that's WAY to hard to say.

If i read that right you say that Kinect will move more consoles than Move (i think so too since PS3 move is like $400) and then you say that GT5 will move more consoles than Halo Reach. ARE YOU OUT OF YOUR MIND!? Not saying that GT5 wont be huge, but Halo Reach will move consoles like crazy, when Halo 3 came 360 was above PS3 for that week in Japan, that says a lot how many consoles Reach will move...



johnglen on 21 September 2010

The combination of Reach/Kinect will be much stronger than GT5/move . Reach already crushed any type of hype move could have, that's obvious and was expected. Now the tricky part is the clash between GT5 and kinect . GT5 will give a big boost (for a few weeks at least) to the ps3 in EMAA and a considerably smaller one in Japan. Its effect in NA will be insignificant, IMO. Now kinect....well here's the deal....i believe kinect will be a smash hit, at least initially giving the 360 some unbelievable weeks in NA plus a decent boost in EMAA. The boost that the 360 will receive in NA will be far beyond what a hit game can do, i am talking about over 300k first week of kinect's release for the 360 just in NA.

I believe that even in GT5 launch week there's a very good chance (i'd say it's almost certain ,IMO) that the 360 will outsell the ps3 , on the back of huge NA sales. I really believe that the launch of kinect will be the exact opposite of move's launch , it will be a true event . I expect lines and hundereds of thousand of consumers buyning the 360/kinect bundles from day 1.