gurglesletch said:
highwaystar101 said:
It only killed less people because we took such great precautions to prevent the spread. If we had sat around and done nothing it would have gone on to infect millions, if not billions. That's how a pandemic works when humans have no natural immunity. Do you understand what pandemic flu is and why it differs from seasonal flu?
The last large scale H1N1 flu pandemic was the 1918 flu pandemic where 500 million people got infected and 40 million died, which it potentially could have been if we didn't take action. It was very serious.
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Old people had immunity to the Swine Flu. And the Swine flu was weaker than the regular flu. Didn't you see the original death reports in mexico and then a week later they were lowered by 80% or something.
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Only some old people had an immunity to swine flu, and elderly people (65 ) only account for ~8% of the world's population. Hardly accounts for a large portion of the world's population, does it.
Swine flu did have a lower fatality rate than regular flu (As a percentage of those infected it is about 0.07% less than regular flu). But there was sufficient risk to be concerned about a spread of H1N1 that would infect people in the magnitude of hundreds of millions, far more than regular seasonal flu. Then what would the fatality rate be?
If the 2009 H1N1 pandemic affected the world on the magnitude of the 1918 H1N1 pandemic where 33% percent of the world was infected at a fatality rate of 0.03%, then that would result in an infection of 2.2Bn people and the deaths of 67.3 Mn people. These are pretty serious figures, and it has happened before. We were trying to avoid a repeat of the 1918 H1N1 pandemic. It wouldn't matter if it was a third weaker than regular flu if it infects 200x more people.
This was the potential spread that we wanted to reduce the probability of. It had a low chance of occurring, but a high enough impact for us to take major action against it. With the preventative measures taken against swine flu we managed to reduce the likelihood of catastrophe on the scale of the 1918 H1N1 pandemic even further, and that action was certainly warranted. The deaths of nearly 70Mn people, however unlikely, isn't to be brushed off as "media hype".
By the way, when I found out about the story behind the story from my nurse housemates I decided to start researching from non-popular media sources and it became clear pretty quickly what the true situation was.