TauKappaNASA said:
Spectrumglr said:
TauKappaNASA said:
Spectrumglr said:
raygun said:
I love all the posts saying 'when will PS3 catch up to 360?' Imagine 2 cars in a 4 lap car race, and the 360 car gets a 1 lap head start. People are saying the 360 is ahead? Right! Well, to even things out, lets factor in that extra 'lap' of sales, 5.9 million xbox360's in it's first year. You can either minus that from the total 360 sales (42 m) or add it to the PS3 sales (36.6m) to nullify that head start, either way PS3 is ahead, 36m for 360 vs 36.6m for PS3, or 42m 360 vs 42.6m PS3. When a race has staggered starting of the contestants, you don't look at who's nearest the finish line, but their distance/time for the race so far.
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let's put apart for a moment your flawed logic...and let's concentrate on pure math.
Let's start by saying that the week before the Ps3 launch the x360 WW total was about 5.3M (and not 5.9)...now the gap is about 5.4M: let's add it to actual PS3 WW total..and you know what? PS3 is still behind. (= your math needs a refresh as your logic)
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Its not that his logic isn't sound. Data can be interpreted in many ways. I agree that the "important" measure is what they are currently at right now. But to the people saying the logic is flawed. In 2013ish (give or take) when 360 is gone and the ps3 is still going strong for a year or two (give or take) will the same people change their logic saying 360 quit while they were ahead and was the rightful leader at the exact moment they quit but not a year or 2 down the road?
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again i don't understand why people continue to state that Ps3 will last longer..there's no reason for a company to quit a project as long as it's succesful and on the other side there's no reason to proloungue the life of something that fails to reach its objective by a long shot.
Ms and Sony don't have to do something because the people here expect them to do so:
- if MS quits x360 this won't happen because of a "five-years-plan" (like it was set in stone from the beginning of time) but simply because x360 is no more profitable.
- if Sony prolongue the life of the PS3 to 12 years this won't be because of a supposed "12-years-plan" but because the PS3 is still profitable
as of now there'se no single reason for MS to quit x360 before Sony quits its PS3...surrender to this fact.
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The Blu-Ray alone makes the PS3 more "future proof." That is the only reason why I think it will last longer. As someone previously stated, if Move or Kinect somehow become the "It" things then everything will change anyway.
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PS3 is not future proof: BR or not if MS or N release a new console in fall 2011 it will be miles ahead in terms of technical specs...and future proof to me should also involve gameplay (as Wii this gen showed): in this field PS3 is not future-proof. With Move they just copied the wii (ok, move is more advanced, but it came 4 years late and has to build up its userbase from ground zero)...while "next gen" consoles will likely explore new grounds as revolutionary gameplay proved to be a winning point this gen: i don't think you can stand the market with the PS3 alone while a new Wii-like console with better tech specs and revolutionary/new gameplay hits the market (Sony almost made the trick this gen but this was because they came from the most successful console of all time...i really don't think they could afford such a competition with the PS3)
Sony surely won't give MS again one year of head start: they came from the most successful console of all time and still this didn't prevent the PS3 from being the 3rd console in terms of sales (that managed to see the green only in its 4th year). Imagine what could happen if they give MS 1 year of advantage while coming from the PS3.
So sony can decide to prolongue the life of its PS3 even for 12 years...but surely they'll release a new console around the same time MS or N release theirs and then deciding to pull the plug off the ps3 is just a matter of strategy.
If they do what they did with PS2 they could prolongue its life...but as the results have been far off from the expectations this time Sony could rightfully decide to follow the strategy that Ms took with 360 (quit PS3 quite rapidly). On the other side MS could rightfully decide to change its strategy and continue to support the x360 that is arguably much more successful than the first xbox while launching its successor. What i'm tring to say is that the situation has changed a lot from the last gen so it's prefectly plausible that MS, N and Sony decide to explore new grounds in terms of strategy and nothing is written in stone. What is sure is that nothing is future proof with technological advance: we're playing with stuff that wasn't the state of the art even when it came out (imagine in 2011 or 2012)so trying to argue that console X is future proof is out of this world (by the time a new console comes out PS3 will be like the PS2 against the x360 or the PS3: miles behind).