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Forums - Sales Discussion - Is It Possible For GT5 To OutSell Halo Reach Lifetime?...I Think So!

selnor said:
Smidlee said:
selnor said:
 


Make no mistake. It will be up to Codemasters and Bernie together whether or not Polyphony will have the F1 2007 Ferrari in GT5. The only way I see it is if Codemasters see it as no conflict to there own game. 

And to be honest 1 or 2 F1 cars will not stop 'anyone' buying F1 2010 if they love F1. By the latest report by InsideSimRacing F1 2010's F1 handling and racing model will be ahead anyone over GT5 F1 models. 

F1 2010 is including full tyre deformation ( which includes the rubber shredding causing marbles on the tyres and track ). flatspots from locking up under braking affecting the vibrations through the force feedback etc. 

The only place on consoles to race an F1 car this year realistically is F1 2010.

I watch this video and saw no mention of Gt5. Also Codemaster made it clear F1 2010 physics will not be as realitsic as Rfactor or Iracing F1 cars. They are not trying to make the most realistic F1 sim but a more casual racers with an more interesting career mode. They are trying to sim the actually F1 racing experience more than F1 cars.

I guess you fell asleep when the developer answered the realsim question.

Question to dev was: " If Rfactor and Iracing are a 10 for realism where do you rate F1 2010 to be.

They said early in dev it was around 5. But now we are launching it with around an 8 on full sim mode.

Thats remarkably good. Considering they consider they are a bit more real than Geoff Crammonds Grand Prix 3 on PC. Thats there aim. The realism of that series. And that is an awesome thing.

Realism is not necessary mean car physics. (F1 2010 has weather while Iracing still don't. 1 for realism on F1 over Iracing ) Listen to what they said as even Shaun commented he wished the game had better physics.  They said even with Full realism mode the car will handle as if you are an expert driver , thus some driving aid.  Dirt 2 had realism which is why it scored so high in ISR especially in visuals and FFB yet didn't have anywhere near the physics of  Richard Burn Rally.(7 years old)  Because of ISR giving Fm3 and Dirt2 such as high scores some has nickname the site  Inside Arcade Racing.

 Since the game is using Dirt 2 engine I have a feeling F1 2010 is aiming more like Dirt2 with a mix of arcade and sim physics.



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mundus6 said:

I don't know exact numbers, but if you think back at Halo 3 the 360 had only sold like 18 million consoles or so? Yet in the first week it sold almost 4 million copies, MW2 "only" sold like 5 million even though the install base was twice as big.

Also exclusives do sell better than multi platform games and Halo is about as big as it gets when it comes to a exclusive franchise (outside of Nintendo). When Halo Reach comes, 360s install base will be bigger than it was when MW2 came and Halo Reach probably score higher on meta critic. As for marketing, M$ marketing when it comes to Halo games are huge. Halo Reach will be the best sold 360 game period, GT5 might be the best sold PS3 game, but i still doubt it will outsell Halo Reach.

Thats casue there are a limited number of the really hardcore people out there that rush to buy the game on day one 

20 million or 100 million user base and you would still get similar sales numbers for huge hype games like H3 and MW2.

GT might be PS3 best seller, that show you havent got a clue what the hell you are talking about.  Any one sane know's GT will be PS3s best seller unless it gets a exclusive GTA. 



pezus said:
JerCotter7 said:
pezus said:
mundus6 said:
pezus said:
mundus6 said:
JerCotter7 said:
mundus6 said:
Hus said:

User base to sw sales. 

GC - 24m - SSBM - 7.08
Wii - 72m -  SSBB - 9.49

So many more consoels yet not that many more sales. 


Most people that bough a GC are hardcore, the Wii is a different story... Also Wii is the most pirated system after PC. And by the time Halo 3 came out it still had less sales than Xbox 1, yet sold faster. Funny how that works.


Did you just prove his argument? 

PS2 = casuals and pirated.

PS3 = Mostly "hardcore" and not pirated.

 

Oh look at that.

I never said that PS2 was a casual console, although its probably true that most casual PS2 owners bough a Wii instead of a PS3. However racing games are actually huge in the causal market, so i don't know what your point is. Less gamers = less games sold. Now i do not think GT5 will do bad, i just don't think it will do better than Halo Reach, since its obvious that it will do better than MW2 (for Xbox 360).

Tell me why it's obvious Halo Reach will sell better than MW2. I mean, Cod (MW) is clearly a bigger franchise than Halo now...

I don't know exact numbers, but if you think back at Halo 3 the 360 had only sold like 18 million consoles or so? Yet in the first week it sold almost 4 million copies, MW2 "only" sold like 5 million even though the install base was twice as big.

Also exclusives do sell better than multi platform games and Halo is about as big as it gets when it comes to a exclusive franchise (outside of Nintendo). When Halo Reach comes, 360s install base will be bigger than it was when MW2 came and Halo Reach probably score higher on meta critic. As for marketing, M$ marketing when it comes to Halo games are huge. Halo Reach will be the best sold 360 game period, GT5 might be the best sold PS3 game, but i still doubt it will outsell Halo Reach.

When GT5 releases PS3's userbase will be much bigger than PS2's was when GT3 released...and that sold 14-15 million copies. Just imagine what GT5 will sell...

 

...

Yea but see the 360 users are hardcore who like halo and PS3 are hardcore and it's casuals only buy GT5. 

 

Thought I would answer for him.

Lol. That's absolutely true!



i don't agree. im no casual fan and will be getting GT5!



pezus said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
pezus said:
JerCotter7 said:
pezus said:
mundus6 said:
pezus said:
mundus6 said:
JerCotter7 said:
mundus6 said:
Hus said:

User base to sw sales. 

GC - 24m - SSBM - 7.08
Wii - 72m -  SSBB - 9.49

So many more consoels yet not that many more sales. 


Most people that bough a GC are hardcore, the Wii is a different story... Also Wii is the most pirated system after PC. And by the time Halo 3 came out it still had less sales than Xbox 1, yet sold faster. Funny how that works.


Did you just prove his argument? 

PS2 = casuals and pirated.

PS3 = Mostly "hardcore" and not pirated.

 

Oh look at that.

I never said that PS2 was a casual console, although its probably true that most casual PS2 owners bough a Wii instead of a PS3. However racing games are actually huge in the causal market, so i don't know what your point is. Less gamers = less games sold. Now i do not think GT5 will do bad, i just don't think it will do better than Halo Reach, since its obvious that it will do better than MW2 (for Xbox 360).

Tell me why it's obvious Halo Reach will sell better than MW2. I mean, Cod (MW) is clearly a bigger franchise than Halo now...

I don't know exact numbers, but if you think back at Halo 3 the 360 had only sold like 18 million consoles or so? Yet in the first week it sold almost 4 million copies, MW2 "only" sold like 5 million even though the install base was twice as big.

Also exclusives do sell better than multi platform games and Halo is about as big as it gets when it comes to a exclusive franchise (outside of Nintendo). When Halo Reach comes, 360s install base will be bigger than it was when MW2 came and Halo Reach probably score higher on meta critic. As for marketing, M$ marketing when it comes to Halo games are huge. Halo Reach will be the best sold 360 game period, GT5 might be the best sold PS3 game, but i still doubt it will outsell Halo Reach.

When GT5 releases PS3's userbase will be much bigger than PS2's was when GT3 released...and that sold 14-15 million copies. Just imagine what GT5 will sell...

 

...

Yea but see the 360 users are hardcore who like halo and PS3 are hardcore and it's casuals only buy GT5. 

 

Thought I would answer for him.

Lol. That's absolutely true!



i don't agree. im no casual fan and will be getting GT5!

Yeah. I was assuming he was being sarcastic.

Why would I do such a thing :O:O:O



I think it will outsell Reach pretty easily, because I think Halo has been on the way out after Halo III.  Also, I think of all the console shooters heading out of E3 Killzone 3 has the most pop.



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Simple math would dictate that Halo Reach will outsell GT 5 by a fairly large margin barring GT5 getting bundled at some point.

Halo 2 sold 8 million on an install base of 25 million. GT4 sold 14 or so million on an install base of 130 million (roughly).

Halo 3 sold almost 11 million and it launched to an install base of around 18-20 million.

With the current hardware numbers for Sony and MS I don't see how GT has any shot at beating Halo this gen....unless of course it gets bundled.



Simple maths are irrelevent.

When people talk about the attach rate, it should be taken into consideration based on when the actual game was still selling itself, and there are other factors that can be brought into the argument as well..  GT4 didn't sell as well as GT3 and there are many potential and reasonable reasons for that.  For one, many could have seen it as not big enough a step up to warrant the purchase of it, having spent the countless hours of gameplay on the first outing of the console already, and not willing to do it all over again (the game still sold over 10 milion copies anyway).  It could also be that the franchise had become a bit stale in the mind of gamers and they lost interest (it still sold over 10 milion copies). It could also mean that because the PS2's install base is so huge, so is the diversity of gamers preferences going to be huge. Or, it could be all the above combined or any other speculative reasons I didn't brought up here. 

GT5 is gonna share more in common with GT3 than with GT4.  The main point being that GT5 is, like GT3, the first main entry in the series on the system.  GT3 sold more than GT4 on an intsall base way smaller than what the PS2 is right now...

Original post: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=3496837



I read through some of the arguments and yet I still cannot see why this has to be such a heated debate. Is it really that important if they sell similarly or if one sells better than the other when they are both quite likely to clear 10M in LTD sales? As I stated earlier, they are both going to sell exceptionally well and it doesn't take away from one or the other if one of them sells 10-20% more than the other when they are both going to sell remarkably well and are both going to satisfy their respective userbases. We have very little precedent in judging the sales of 10M franchises so noone here can reliably call it one way or another as they simply behave differently franchises which sell 1-3M typically.



Tease.

Squilliam said:

I read through some of the arguments and yet I still cannot see why this has to be such a heated debate. Is it really that important if they sell similarly or if one sells better than the other when they are both quite likely to clear 10M in LTD sales? As I stated earlier, they are both going to sell exceptionally well and it doesn't take away from one or the other if one of them sells 10-20% more than the other when they are both going to sell remarkably well and are both going to satisfy their respective userbases. We have very little precedent in judging the sales of 10M franchises so noone here can reliably call it one way or another as they simply behave differently franchises which sell 1-3M typically.


That was eloquently put. 

 

Thumbs up.



Funtime said:

Simple math would dictate that Halo Reach will outsell GT 5 by a fairly large margin barring GT5 getting bundled at some point.

Halo 2 sold 8 million on an install base of 25 million. GT4 sold 14 or so million on an install base of 130 million (roughly).

Halo 3 sold almost 11 million and it launched to an install base of around 18-20 million.

With the current hardware numbers for Sony and MS I don't see how GT has any shot at beating Halo this gen....unless of course it gets bundled.


no not simple math. more like speculation on numbers of a console that dominated.

lets stick to simple facts. GT4 sold 14m. Halo sold 11m (round it off)

most sequals sell beter then there predecessors. so to blow the argument out of the water

GT5 20m GT5 is th onlyone that will move consoles

Halo Reach 15m

it can't be argued cause my mind is made up.