This post is just a few thoughts I had on sales strategies going forward for each of the companies. These are my opinions and you're perfectly welcome to criticise or post your own. Nothing stated here is claimed to be fact. Assume that everything is based on my perception of how I think the companies think and is not backed by fact.
I believe Microsoft's sales strategy prior to the competition with the Wii was to short circuit the console cycle. They released the 360 only 4 years after the original xbox. At the time, I thought their plan was to release the next gen 4 years after the 360, thus keeping their console at the top of the heap and able to do so by using off the shelf components. At new consoles every 4 years without having to invest that much into research (like Sony / Nintendo did for their proprietary components) this could have been a legitimate way to stay on top by forcing the competitors to spend more money to keep up. After the disruption, I think that strategy can no longer work as is. An adjustment I think they need to do now is bundle the Natal with a new generation console -- a guarantee to the game developers that the Natal will ALWAYS be present on the system and thus truly get a lot of games built for it just as Wii guaranteed their quirky controller would always be available. If they can add 3d visuals, then the technophiles will freak out, thinking about the possibilities of interacting in 3d space with 3d controls (natal being able to track in 3d). The technology exists today to make this possible, but they'd probably want to wait until 2011 E3 for a reveal to let the 3D TV hype sink in a little more before revealing it. But it wouldn't be out the realm of possibility to do that this year.
Nintendo surprised many by showing that there was an untapped market. While several believe Nintendo will come back to hardcore gamers, I don't think they will. I think they've seen the light and realize that there is much more money to be made off of their new market, which is devoid of any serious competition right now. I think Nintendo is going to innovate further. 3D gaming is too obvious of a next step. Everybody will be doing that on their next console. Nintendo has to find something else unique. Certainly the "no glasses" 3D is going to intrigue people, but I'm not sure it is going to be enough. I think Nintendo will be revealing the 3DS at the E3 (with no plans for distribution until 2011). That will make the Microsoft and Sony entries in 2 years at the E3 appear to be an "us too" entry -- most certainly they'll want to tap into the 3D hype as well and will do it either with new consoles or some kind of add on. So then, in E3 2011 Nintendo will reveal the real secret -- some special way to interact. Maybe instead of stylus, it uses the built in camera and you literally touch the 3d images, thus opening a new way to interact with them.








