Hope this works. VGC has been working oddly lately. First update will be the 3 charts, then I'll edit my comments in.
USA:
| This Wk | Last Wk | Name | Wk Sales | Total Sales | % Drop | Wks. In Release | Expected LTD |
| #1 | --- | Assassain's Creed | 585,064 | 585,064 | --- | 1 | 1,300,000 |
| #2 | #1 | Call of Duty 4 | 267,322 | 774,981 | -47.40% | 2 | 2,000,000 |
| #3 | --- | WWE: SvR 2008 | 129,554 | 129,554 | --- | 1 | 600,000 |
| #4 | --- | Need for Speed: Pro Street | 109,748 | 109,748 | --- | 1 | 600,000 |
| #5 | --- | Kane & Lynch | 93,147 | 93,147 | --- | 1 | 450,000 |
| #6 | --- | Blacksite: Area 51 | 64,544 | 64,544 | --- | 1 | 375,000 |
| #7 | #3 | Halo 3 | 54,445 | 4,104,464 | 1.10% | 8 | 9,000,000 |
| #8 | --- | Beowolf | 37,112 | 37,112 | --- | 1 | 140,000 |
| #9 | #6 | The Simpsons Game | 28,383 | 92,462 | 21.40% | 3 | 300,000 |
| #10 | #11 | Madden 08 | 25,802 | 1,253,905 | 51.70% | 14 | 2,000,000 |
| #11 | #7 | NBA 2k8 | 24,875 | 156,260 | 10.70% | 7 | 550,000 |
| #12 | --- | Soldier of Fortune 3 | 24,411 | 24,411 | --- | 1 | 120,000 |
| #13 | #4 | Naruto: RoaN | 24,060 | 129,841 | -30.50% | 3 | 250,000 |
| #14 | #10 | Lego Star Wars: TCS | 23,630 | 41,641 | 31.11% | 2 | 250,000 |
| #15 | #8 | Scene It? LCA | 22,755 | 42,892 | 12.40% | 2 | 250,000 |
A few notes:
Overall: Wow. 2.1m units of software in 1 week. That's just.....Crazy. Expecially since a good portion of it are older games. Outside the top-15, many games had great increases.
#1. Assassains Creed. Well, appearently, the whole "top 5 dissapointing games" bit didn't douse the first week of AC. AC trumped nearly every other X360 debut, and exceeding both Call of Duty 4, and Gears of War's first weeks in November. Amazing. But with the bad reviews, I would, however, expect a strong dropoff.
#2. Call of Duty 4. Any time a game opens up this big, the thing you always worry is that you'll have a 60% drop the next week. Not so with COD4. It had a sub-50% drop. This is VERY important going into the holidays. With numbers like that, 1.5m might be possible before December is over.
#3-5. Ah, new meat & potato releases. Why that term? These games, sans Kane & Lynch, are 2 typical holiday titles. Games that your younger core audience pick up every year. Both titles debuted with significant (30-40%) higher results. Some have aruged that old IPs are going to drop in terms of overall sales. I beg to differ: the whole reason many IPs are down is because sales of next-gen systems with strong attach ratios for core owners from last gen (PS2 owners primarily) haven't addopted yet. Kane & Lynch also has a strong start.
#6. Blacksite: Area 51. Another midway game that does mediocre on it's first week. Atleast it didn't get killed by the shadow of Halo on it's original (ie, Sept 25th) release date.
#7. Halo has an increase, finally! Expect it to hold steady between 50k-75k for the rest of the year, attaching to around 40% of every Xbox 360 sold this winter.
#8. Beowolf has a bad start just like the movie (my dad & g/f loved the movie, however).
#9-15 - Ie, everything but SOF3. Notice the "bottom feeders" and their respective increases? The holidays are here. Expect each game to continue with strong increases. Games like these are going to drive holiday sales on the X360 in the end. The big-ticket notable is Scene It? and the fact it had an increase on it's second week. Say hello to this year's Viva Pinata (also say hello to Viva Pinata almost cracking 10k this week).
#12. Soldier of Fortune. Ever wonder what happens when there are too many shooters? Games like SOF wind up doing bad numbers. Shame on you for releasing the game at this time.
Japan:
| This Wk | Last Wk | Name | Wk Sales | Total Sales | % Drop | Wks. In Release |
| #1 | #1 | Shin Sangoku Mousou 5 | 10,726 | 35,692 | -57.10% | 2 |
| #2 | #2 | Ace Combat 6 | 3,716 | 85,404 | -55.20% | 4 |
| #3 | #3 | Just Cause | 1,510 | 5,848 | -65.20% | 2 |
| #4 | #5 | Halo 3 | 1,485 | 87,399 | -30.60% | 8 |
| #5 | #4 | Earth Defense Force 3 | 1,258 | 10,715 | -45.50% | 3 |
| #6 | #6 | Beautiful Katamari Damacy | 1,232 | 28,134 | -31.00% | 5 |
| #7 | #9 | Blue Dragon | 452 | 205,370 | -26.30% | 50 |
| #8 | #11 | Zoids Alternative | 232 | 3,020 | -25.70% | 5 |
| #9 | #8 | NBA Live 08 | 201 | 855 | -69.70% | 2 |
| #10 | #13 | Viva Pinata | 169 | 21,475 | -17.30% | 45 |
Overall: A decent drop all around due to lower console sales. Also, there are a few X360 games missing like PG4, and of course, the ever-elusive Bladestorm (that should be over 13,000 by now).
No real amazing notes: SM5 has a pretty big drop, despite going from 1 day of tracking to 7 days. But this wasn't unique just to the X360 version. The PS3 version did the same thing.
The only notable is that VGC has seemed to undertrack Ace Combat 6 compared to Media Create....But that's probably since Famitsu (where VGC seems to get alot of it's data) had tracked AC6 much lower than MC. Via MC, I would think that AC6 is about 10k higher, and is near 95k units sold. Very impressive. That would put AC6 at around 250k in the US and Japan thus far.
XBLA Estimates (based on Saturday release)
| This Wk | Name | Wk Sales | Total Sales | Wk Revenue | Total Revenue | % Drop | |
| 1 | Carcassonne | 86,843 | 249,299 | $868,430 | $2,492,990 | 60.05% | |
| 2 | Undertow | 8,360 | 8,360 | $83,600 | $83,600 | --- | |
| 3 | Switchball | 4,466 | 21,029 | $44,660 | $210,290 | -54.70% | |
| 4 | Uno | 4,327 | 1,409,043 | $21,635 | $7,045,215 | -15.80% | |
| 5 | Word Puzzle | 3,392 | 17,238 | $33,920 | $172,380 | -51.60% | |
| 6 | Sonic the Hedgehog 2 | 2,405 | 145,214 | $24,050 | $1,452,140 | -6.50% | |
| 7 | Puzzle Quest: CotW | 2,353 | 113,134 | $35,235 | $1,697,010 | -7.10% | |
| 8 | Shrek-N-Roll | 1,632 | 2,847 | $16,320 | $28,470 | 34.30% | |
| 9 | TMNT 1989 Arcade | 1,487 | 529,699 | $7,435 | $2,648,495 | -34.70% | |
| 10 | Screwjumper! | 190 | 505 | $1,900 | $5,050 | -39.70% |
Mind you, this XBLA chart is based souly on last week's top 10 + Undertow 3day estimates, and then the new releases first full week. This does not mean that Screwjumper! Hit the top 10. It absolutely bombed this week.
A few notes:
The insane Carcassonne numbers are due to old adopters activating their free downloads from last week. Therefore, the revenue is buggy. Having said that, since the free download time, the user base of Carcassonne has no less than doubled. Great.
Undertow has a great opening. Atleast compared to the 2 other releases we've tracked. A $85,000 estimated 3-day opening will fare well for Undertow. However, since working the numbers, I've re-checked MGC trackings on Undertow. I might actually be low. 3-day actuals might be closer to $100k. Very good.
Outside of this, new releases such as Screwjumper! Word Puzzle, and Switchball have pretty bad drops. Switchball might end up #2 overall for the week. It's done very, very well in the past 3 weeks and should continue to chart in the top-10 for some time. Remember: XBLA games are ultra-casual. Take Sonic the Hedgehog 2: it was #5 last week, and is 3 months old now. Very good. Total revenue for the week should be higher than last week due to Undertow's great opening and Carcassonne. But of course, Carcassonne sales don't count. Nevertheless, unit downloads of full games should eclipse last week's 158,000 unit count by a large margin. I would expect near 200,000 full game downloads, headed up by an estimated 90,000 Carcassonne downloads being tracked.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
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