i think nintendo has the upper hand going into the show followed by microsoft then sony, but then thats the whole point of the show, is that we havn't seen any of the megaton bombshells yet, personally i think everyone will have a great show this year,(not trying to osund corny but its true).
Nintendo:
zelda wii
metroid other m
pikmin
vitality
Pokemon 5th gen
3DS
New games
Epic mickey
Microsoft:
Natal
more 3rd party exclusives
Reach
gears 3
fable 3
mass effect 3 teaser
portal 2
Sony:
Gran turismo 5
last gaurdian
versus 13 + ff14
Agent
maybe one more huge 3rd party exclusive
jaffe game
killzone 3
Move stuff
Socom 4 beta prolly
Overall itl be hard for the big game sites to call a winner on this one, unless some massive gigatons are dropped either way like gta 5 exclusive to one of the hd platforms, or Kh3 on wii, ff7 remake, iuno gonna be a great year for gamers.