Sorry, there are way too many variables and holes in your numbers. Like how can there ever be a 67% chance we lynch scum today with a cop roleclaim? There isnt. I dont know where you are getting those numbers but they are wrong. I am starting to think you are doing it to confuse the rest of the people and trying to lead them into a situation you want.

FoS: theRepublic

Okay, sorry it took me so long to reply again.

So, KingFate. He posted a lot on the first page, but only twice on the second page, once on the third page, and then started posting more on the fourth (going by 50 posts per page). He explained his absence in a few posts, here and here. His explanations are reasonable enough; I know life can get a bit crazy for sure.

This post, however, KingFate is doing the same thing that he accused ArkZero of.

I'm just posting here to keep track of this....

btw, I told you so.... I was innocent...

Dude, learn to read.

He said in a note for the second list of probabilities that if we were about to lynch a known innocent, the cop would step in and stop us.

You're acting crazy. Why don't you provide the things you think he's wrong with? Would you want to do the chances of everything happening? Or do you just want him dead?

Dont tell me to learn to read,  I did,  I also took a statistics course in college so I know what I am talking about.  Providing chanes of everything in a game with too many variables is worthless.  You could provide pages of statistics.  And none of it would really help.

Like I said,  I think he is doing this to make it look like he is town, but in fact he is probably mafia.. 

Just because you took a course on it doesn't mean that you're the omniscient god on the subject and everyone should listen to you.

I asked him to do it, because I was thinking whether or not the cop should roleclaim. Now, I think the cop should not roleclaim and we should do a no lynch.

If I shift the focus to another player is because I would like to see them post more and help the town.

Judging by the fact that you dont post that much and that you only seem to post whenever someone mentions you, makes you a suspect.

WTF are you talking about?   For one, where did I claim to be an omniscient god on anything?  I mentioned that his figures left out alot variables and that relying on statistics in a game like this is worthless,  I knew that because I have background in that subject. 

vote: no lynch

It gives the town an extra day plus without any information to go on(investigation results), it makes it tough to trust anyone.  I still think the cop should come forward if both of his investigations are alive.  But only for that reason. 

Vote Count

No Lynch - Vetteman94, dtewi (L-2)

Not voting - insomniac17, KingFate, ArkZero, TheRepublic

With 6 alive, 4 votes are required to lynch.