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Forums - General - National Debt

mirgro said:
Kasz216 said:
highwaystar101 said:
Kasz216 said:
highwaystar101 said:
mirgro said:
highwaystar101 said:

That picture's pretty funny. I'm not sure how accurate it is, but it is funny.

If I remember correctly, he increased the debt by $3 trillion. I don't remember if that was in then dollars or modern dollars.

Modern dollars according to the picture. I had no idea Reagonomics was that bad.

It wasn't as much reaganomics as it was vastly increased govenrment spending to take out the russians, greatly increased trade deficits and a savings and loans problem.


Reaganomics itself actually wasn't bad... it increase GDP and cut unemployment.

His tax cuts worked wonders... it increased GDP and lowered unemployment.

The problem was he decided to start spending a lot more on a war vs a crumbling enemy who posed little threat anymore, there was a giant credit problem with banks and our trade deficit got out of control....

In otherwords... basically a smaller version of what's happened recently... though the savings and loan crisis only cost us like 150 billion or so.

 

Had Reagan cut spending when he cut taxes instead of increasing it... we'd still be the worlds largest creditor... rather then a debtor... or, would of been until this crisis anyway.

I understand now.

I knew that one of the main goals of Reagonomics was to cut government spending where possible. So investing in a war with the USSR can't really be seen as the fault of Reagonomics, more the fault of not carrying it out properly by investing too much money in a war.

To be honest though, I haven't read enough on the subject to give a meaningful opinion.


To be honest i'm not even sure reagan cared at all. Lowering taxes on the rich pretty much always is going to raise GDP and create jobs because the rich have more money to invest. Which means they invest it and create jobs. Or hell, even put the money in a bank, which banks can loan. The real issue is "how much are other people benefiting". What kind of jobs are being created... are these people opening new stores and factories? Or just increasing the amount of lower level workers they hire.. etc. T he reagan tax cuts were huge and had to have a giant positve effect. Problem was... reagan was the first real cut and spend Republican. He's just generally given slack for it because the USSR collapsed during his presidency... some say the massive arms rate he started caused the russians to retaliate and break their economy... others say their economy was already going to collapse. I have no clue which is real honsetly. Their economy was going to crash anyway i imagine... authortiaran communism can't work on such large a level with competitors who aren't communist. How long it would of took however...

I would like to point out a simple fault with the trickle down. If you take a CEO and he has a private plane, the price range on those are between $6 mil to $60 mil. In the best case scenario, that's 6 jobs being paid $100,000 a year for 10 years.  You can adjust those numbers inversely of course. Worst case scenario would be 60 jobs being paid $100,000 for a year. This is simply for a plane. I hear upkeep is anotheer $100,000 - $200,000 per year so that's another job or two every year spent on a plan. I fully realize that those money are going somewhere else which also creates jobs. So the real question is, why not just give the lower classes the $6 million initially and they can just bubble it up back to the rich by buying more things? The lower classes definitely could use the $6 mil, for food or a few luxury items ehre and there, but the CEO can easily live his life without a plane.

The truth is that the rich are rich because they know how to make money and, most importantly, keep it. Yes they will spend some, but they would not be rich if they just wasted all of their money. The poor however, always spend their money, they are reliable like that. SO if anything the money would bubble up to the rich anyhow and stay there. It's just that in one way the poor get something along the way of making the rich richer.

Your second paragraph is argueing against your first paragraph.  The rich know how to keep their money... because they invest it.  They won't be buying private planes... they'll be investing in new buisnesses and stocks.  Creating supermarkets, malls and theatres.

You give the cut to the rich because it's faster.

Rich people create buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.  Everyone else gets money from the buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth becomes richer and buys more stuff... which in turn creates more buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.

 

Give it to the poor, and you have to wait for them to spend the money before you get the buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.  By getting money you lose out on the first round of GDP growth which actually ends up putting the poor in a hole.

Also do you know who it REALLY puts in a hole.  The REAL poor.  IE those who aren't paying income taxes anyway and only pay social security and sales taxes.

While the "poor" are out spending their new cash... the "real" poor have to wait months and maybe years for that money to get to the rich to create new jobs for them... the unemployed or those only working part time. 

Not only are they not getting those new jobs right away, you've probably cut their benefits just to give the other poor their jobs.  Either that or your running up the deficit like Reagan.



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Kasz216 said:

Your second paragraph is argueing against your first paragraph.  The rich know how to keep their money... because they invest it.  They won't be buying private planes... they'll be investing in new buisnesses and stocks.  Creating supermarkets, malls and theatres.

You give the cut to the rich because it's faster.

Rich people create buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.  Everyone else gets money from the buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth becomes richer and buys more stuff... which in turn creates more buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.

 

Give it to the poor, and you have to wait for them to spend the money before you get the buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.  By getting money you lose out on the first round of GDP growth which actually ends up putting the poor in a hole.

Also do you know who it REALLY puts in a hole.  The REAL poor.  IE those who aren't paying income taxes anyway and only pay social security and sales taxes.

While the "poor" are out spending their new cash... the "real" poor have to wait months and maybe years for that money to get to the rich to create new jobs for them... the unemployed or those only working part time. 

Not only are they not getting those new jobs right away, you've probably cut their benefits just to give the other poor their jobs.  Either that or your running up the deficit like Reagan.

I understand where you are coming from. But it's as I said in the first paragraph, the money will end with the rich anyhow it's just a question of when. Also by cutting the taxes on the rich there are indeed less taxes collecting, therefore helping out the real poor less.



NJ5 said:
mirgro said:
NJ5 said:
I hope people understand that the recession is "over" not because the economy is actually in good shape, but just because the government took the problems into its own balance sheet (which is reflected in the quickly increasing national debt of several countries):

Face it, most people don't care, and I'm would surprised if more than a few % actually realize what happened.

They don't care until they do. Unfortunately it might be too late to stop the madness then.

A few years ago I barely knew anything about finance. Due to these worldwide collapses I know a lot more now, and I bet many people do as well.

 

Ah, but instant gratification and all that. However there can be ways to pay off the debt incrementally and carefully. So instead of being in a deep depression for a little while we could be in a state of restraing for several years.



mirgro said:
Kasz216 said:
 

Your second paragraph is argueing against your first paragraph.  The rich know how to keep their money... because they invest it.  They won't be buying private planes... they'll be investing in new buisnesses and stocks.  Creating supermarkets, malls and theatres.

You give the cut to the rich because it's faster.

Rich people create buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.  Everyone else gets money from the buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth becomes richer and buys more stuff... which in turn creates more buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.

 

Give it to the poor, and you have to wait for them to spend the money before you get the buisnesses, jobs and GDP growth.  By getting money you lose out on the first round of GDP growth which actually ends up putting the poor in a hole.

Also do you know who it REALLY puts in a hole.  The REAL poor.  IE those who aren't paying income taxes anyway and only pay social security and sales taxes.

While the "poor" are out spending their new cash... the "real" poor have to wait months and maybe years for that money to get to the rich to create new jobs for them... the unemployed or those only working part time. 

Not only are they not getting those new jobs right away, you've probably cut their benefits just to give the other poor their jobs.  Either that or your running up the deficit like Reagan.

I understand where you are coming from. But it's as I said in the first paragraph, the money will end with the rich anyhow it's just a question of when. Also by cutting the taxes on the rich there are indeed less taxes collecting, therefore helping out the real poor less.

And in turn.. the money will end up with the poor anyhow... through the investments... it's just it will effect the economy positivly more quickly.

Also, less taxes are being collected either way... the difference is... the real poor get helped sooner by the GDP growth quicker.

 

Let me set up a quick hypothetical to drive home the point.

 

January Earth A - The rich Get a tax cut... the rich start investing.   Unemployed/Underemployed beneits are cut.

January Earth B - The poor get a tax cut... the poor start buying.  Unemployed/underemployed benefits are cut.


March Earth A - The investments take hold.  The Unemployed/Underemployed numbers shrink.  The base of people being taxed grows as the poor taxed growns.  Now only do the poor taxed grow but so do middle level management positions.  Not only are less people poor, but more people are paying income, sales and federal taxes.  So your making back that money you lose in taxes.  The GDP grows say... 10%

March Earth B - The money is reaching the hands of the rich... who start investing it.

July Earth A - The money is reaching the poor start buying. 

July Earth B - The investments take hold.  The Unemployed/Underemployed numbers shrink.  The base of people being taxed grows as the poor taxed growns.  Now only do the poor taxed grow but so do middle level management positions.  Not only are less people poor, but more people are paying income, sales and federal taxes.  So your making back that money you lose in taxes.  The GDP grows say... 10%/.

 

Now if we expand this out forever... Earth B's GDP is going to constantly be behind Earth A's GDP... including per captia.


EVERYONE in earth A is better off then Earth B... INCLUDING the poor who would of gotten the tax cuts because in the long run the GDP growth likely outweighs the short small term gain.



mirgro said:
What does the Chinese one say, if anyone knows?

You owe us 1.000.000.000.000 dollar.



 

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Kasz216 said:

And in turn.. the money will end up with the poor anyhow... through the investments... it's just it will effect the economy positivly more quickly.

Also, less taxes are being collected either way... the difference is... the real poor get helped sooner by the GDP growth quicker.

 

Let me set up a quick hypothetical to drive home the point.

 

January Earth A - The rich Get a tax cut... the rich start investing.   Unemployed/Underemployed beneits are cut.

January Earth B - The poor get a tax cut... the poor start buying.  Unemployed/underemployed benefits are cut.


March Earth A - The investments take hold.  The Unemployed/Underemployed numbers shrink.  The base of people being taxed grows as the poor taxed growns.  Now only do the poor taxed grow but so do middle level management positions.  Not only are less people poor, but more people are paying income, sales and federal taxes.  So your making back that money you lose in taxes.  The GDP grows say... 10%

March Earth B - The money is reaching the hands of the rich... who start investing it.

July Earth A - The money is reaching the poor start buying. 

July Earth B - The investments take hold.  The Unemployed/Underemployed numbers shrink.  The base of people being taxed grows as the poor taxed growns.  Now only do the poor taxed grow but so do middle level management positions.  Not only are less people poor, but more people are paying income, sales and federal taxes.  So your making back that money you lose in taxes.  The GDP grows say... 10%/.

 

Now if we expand this out forever... Earth B's GDP is going to constantly be behind Earth A's GDP... including per captia.


EVERYONE in earth A is better off then Earth B... INCLUDING the poor who would of gotten the tax cuts because in the long run the GDP growth likely outweighs the short small term gain.

I fully understand what you are saying. I gues it just comes down to priorities. However there is one more thing.  Whoever doesn't get a tax cut will be burdened even more with taking care of social programs. By cutting taxes of the rich, the disparity between the rich and poor only grows, by doing the poor first that disparity shrinks some.



mirgro said:
Kasz216 said:
 

And in turn.. the money will end up with the poor anyhow... through the investments... it's just it will effect the economy positivly more quickly.

Also, less taxes are being collected either way... the difference is... the real poor get helped sooner by the GDP growth quicker.

 

Let me set up a quick hypothetical to drive home the point.

 

January Earth A - The rich Get a tax cut... the rich start investing.   Unemployed/Underemployed beneits are cut.

January Earth B - The poor get a tax cut... the poor start buying.  Unemployed/underemployed benefits are cut.


March Earth A - The investments take hold.  The Unemployed/Underemployed numbers shrink.  The base of people being taxed grows as the poor taxed growns.  Now only do the poor taxed grow but so do middle level management positions.  Not only are less people poor, but more people are paying income, sales and federal taxes.  So your making back that money you lose in taxes.  The GDP grows say... 10%

March Earth B - The money is reaching the hands of the rich... who start investing it.

July Earth A - The money is reaching the poor start buying. 

July Earth B - The investments take hold.  The Unemployed/Underemployed numbers shrink.  The base of people being taxed grows as the poor taxed growns.  Now only do the poor taxed grow but so do middle level management positions.  Not only are less people poor, but more people are paying income, sales and federal taxes.  So your making back that money you lose in taxes.  The GDP grows say... 10%/.

 

Now if we expand this out forever... Earth B's GDP is going to constantly be behind Earth A's GDP... including per captia.


EVERYONE in earth A is better off then Earth B... INCLUDING the poor who would of gotten the tax cuts because in the long run the GDP growth likely outweighs the short small term gain.

I fully understand what you are saying. I gues it just comes down to priorities. However there is one more thing.  Whoever doesn't get a tax cut will be burdened even more with taking care of social programs. By cutting taxes of the rich, the disparity between the rich and poor only grows, by doing the poor first that disparity shrinks some.


Which would you rather have... a world where everbody was richer... or a world where the gap between the rich and poor was smaller.

I'd rather have a world where I could buy an extra videogame or two a year, and the rich guy could buy a new house...  then I would a world where I can afford less videogames a year and the rich guy can't buy a new house.

However, I care more about physical stuff that I can enjoy then some guy lapping me a couple dozen times more in a theoretical wealth game.

 

Doing the poor lowers that gap... however it also lowers everyones standard of living compaired to doing the rich first. 



NJ5 said:
mirgro said:
NJ5 said:
I hope people understand that the recession is "over" not because the economy is actually in good shape, but just because the government took the problems into its own balance sheet (which is reflected in the quickly increasing national debt of several countries):

Face it, most people don't care, and I'm would surprised if more than a few % actually realize what happened.

They don't care until they do. Unfortunately it might be too late to stop the madness then.

A few years ago I barely knew anything about finance. Due to these worldwide collapses I know a lot more now, and I bet many people do as well.

 

It's already to late. The reason why I am getting out.



mirgro said:

I would like to point out a simple fault with the trickle down. If you take a CEO and he has a private plane, the price range on those are between $6 mil to $60 mil. In the best case scenario, that's 6 jobs being paid $100,000 a year for 10 years.  You can adjust those numbers inversely of course. Worst case scenario would be 60 jobs being paid $100,000 for a year. This is simply for a plane. I hear upkeep is anotheer $100,000 - $200,000 per year so that's another job or two every year spent on a plan. I fully realize that those money are going somewhere else which also creates jobs. So the real question is, why not just give the lower classes the $6 million initially and they can just bubble it up back to the rich by buying more things? The lower classes definitely could use the $6 mil, for food or a few luxury items ehre and there, but the CEO can easily live his life without a plane.

The truth is that the rich are rich because they know how to make money and, most importantly, keep it. Yes they will spend some, but they would not be rich if they just wasted all of their money. The poor however, always spend their money, they are reliable like that. SO if anything the money would bubble up to the rich anyhow and stay there. It's just that in one way the poor get something along the way of making the rich richer.

Of course, your forgetting a lot.

For example, who built the plane? Planes come from somewhere. If it was a typical Gulfstream jet, it was made by Gulfstream Aerospace in Georgia. The $6 million price tag on the jet was for what? Building the aircraft, which did employ a number of people for a number of years.

So if you want to take away the jet from the CEO, then you are destroying jobs as well at Gulfstream. You must remember: no money, no matter who it belongs to, is not kept in a vault, away from being used in some form or fashion.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

mrstickball said:
mirgro said:

I would like to point out a simple fault with the trickle down. If you take a CEO and he has a private plane, the price range on those are between $6 mil to $60 mil. In the best case scenario, that's 6 jobs being paid $100,000 a year for 10 years.  You can adjust those numbers inversely of course. Worst case scenario would be 60 jobs being paid $100,000 for a year. This is simply for a plane. I hear upkeep is anotheer $100,000 - $200,000 per year so that's another job or two every year spent on a plan. I fully realize that those money are going somewhere else which also creates jobs. So the real question is, why not just give the lower classes the $6 million initially and they can just bubble it up back to the rich by buying more things? The lower classes definitely could use the $6 mil, for food or a few luxury items ehre and there, but the CEO can easily live his life without a plane.

The truth is that the rich are rich because they know how to make money and, most importantly, keep it. Yes they will spend some, but they would not be rich if they just wasted all of their money. The poor however, always spend their money, they are reliable like that. SO if anything the money would bubble up to the rich anyhow and stay there. It's just that in one way the poor get something along the way of making the rich richer.

Of course, your forgetting a lot.

For example, who built the plane? Planes come from somewhere. If it was a typical Gulfstream jet, it was made by Gulfstream Aerospace in Georgia. The $6 million price tag on the jet was for what? Building the aircraft, which did employ a number of people for a number of years.

So if you want to take away the jet from the CEO, then you are destroying jobs as well at Gulfstream. You must remember: no money, no matter who it belongs to, is not kept in a vault, away from being used in some form or fashion.

I addressed that in the very same paragraph.