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Forums - Microsoft - Microsoft: Xbox doesn't need Blu-Ray

sully1311 said:
Blu-ray isn't the future.... because its the present.

True.  Maybe in the future, or perhaps FAR into the future, digital downloads for everything will be feasible.  In the meantime, have fun waiting over a day to download the new 50 gig HD game and filling up all those terabyte hard drives...

 

 



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Cross-X said:
Ok then so if in future the X360 or the next XBox has Blu Ray, I'm just going to laugh at MS the whole time coz of their lies.

Are you laughing now as well since Sony said a few years ago that the PS3 will have two HDMI ports that can output two separate native 1080p signals and that it'll have 4D graphics?

Anyway, the next Xbox will still have a disc drive. Why? Because they want to include backwards compatibility. Aside from that, games on demand is just a test to see how well digital distribution will do, and until now, I don't think it's doing that well. It'll take more than 10 years for digital distribution to be effective globally, and people love their hard copies.

The more important question is, which disc format. And to tell you the truth, I don't know if it'll be Blu-Ray. There are rumors already that the PS4 will bring another format on the market yet again. MS'll probably go with another disc format (there are a lot of them out there..) or even their own disc format. Maybe based off the HD-DVD and further optimized with larger capacity? HD-DVD might be dead for movies, but it doesn't have to be for a console, as long as they improve it. Or a major toned down version of the HVD (500GB is overkill..) or 5D-DVD (two laser colors instead of 3 or something..)?

Before you say they can't, Nintendo has always used their own disc formats (though still based on DVD), why can't MS? It would actually make sense. Streaming and renting videos in HD seems to be working fine for MS, so to go with the standard HD format to watch movies is not really needed for that purpose (though it would be nice, but if the PS4 brings another format to the table, Blu-Ray might become redundant anyway and I don't think Blu-Ray will be more popular than DVD by that time..). Having their own disc format probably means less piracy, maybe less space needed for copy protection, no need for a license for the use of Blu-Ray discs, and if they include a hard-drive out of the box (which I'm pretty sure they will) they can always "silently load/install" games in the background. In 10 years I doubt any game will require more than 30GB of space though, unless you fill them with pre-rendered cutscenes that is, or duplicate data is used to increase load times.. 

The main issue would be read speed and seek times.. They need a format that reads faster than DVD and Blu-Ray if they're going to load 2GB of game data (or however much the consoles are going to use in the future). I'm pretty sure the 5D-DVD can do that since it uses different laser colors which in theory could easily have twice the read speed, but, don't know about the seek times and I don't know of any others that could do it, even the HVD. I think 5D-DVD has the "easiest" way to be compatible with standard DVDs, making that the most obvious choice.. We'll see..

As for the hard drives, I think MS will allow users to use their current hard drives on the next Xbox as well, and also let the next Xbox have an internal hard drive.. This will allow the old game data (like save files) and profile data to be transfered to the new console. The internal hard drive might have some amount of space not usable by the user but reserved for developers to use. 

This is all speculation and my opinion (and wishes..) and what I think MS should do. If you don't agree, fine, and you can argue against it, but, no need to be an ass in your argument. Play nice. (This is a disclaimer, just in case..)



Truth does not fear investigation

@edstation just because your brother was not economically bright enough to figure out he didn't have to spend 699 to get the exact same value for less doesn't mean you're right -_-




-=Dew the disco dancing fo da Unco Graham=-

NightAntilli said:
Cross-X said:
Ok then so if in future the X360 or the next XBox has Blu Ray, I'm just going to laugh at MS the whole time coz of their lies.

Are you laughing now as well since Sony said a few years ago that the PS3 will have two HDMI ports that can output two separate native 1080p signals and that it'll have 4D graphics?

Anyway, the next Xbox will still have a disc drive. Why? Because they want to include backwards compatibility. Aside from that, games on demand is just a test to see how well digital distribution will do, and until now, I don't think it's doing that well. It'll take more than 10 years for digital distribution to be effective globally, and people love their hard copies.

The more important question is, which disc format. And to tell you the truth, I don't know if it'll be Blu-Ray. There are rumors already that the PS4 will bring another format on the market yet again. MS'll probably go with another disc format (there are a lot of them out there..) or even their own disc format. Maybe based off the HD-DVD and further optimized with larger capacity? HD-DVD might be dead for movies, but it doesn't have to be for a console, as long as they improve it. Or a major toned down version of the HVD (500GB is overkill..) or 5D-DVD (two laser colors instead of 3 or something..)?

Before you say they can't, Nintendo has always used their own disc formats (though still based on DVD), why can't MS? It would actually make sense. Streaming and renting videos in HD seems to be working fine for MS, so to go with the standard HD format to watch movies is not really needed for that purpose (though it would be nice, but if the PS4 brings another format to the table, Blu-Ray might become redundant anyway and I don't think Blu-Ray will be more popular than DVD by that time..). Having their own disc format probably means less piracy, maybe less space needed for copy protection, no need for a license for the use of Blu-Ray discs, and if they include a hard-drive out of the box (which I'm pretty sure they will) they can always "silently load/install" games in the background. In 10 years I doubt any game will require more than 30GB of space though, unless you fill them with pre-rendered cutscenes that is, or duplicate data is used to increase load times.. 

The main issue would be read speed and seek times.. They need a format that reads faster than DVD and Blu-Ray if they're going to load 2GB of game data (or however much the consoles are going to use in the future). I'm pretty sure the 5D-DVD can do that since it uses different laser colors which in theory could easily have twice the read speed, but, don't know about the seek times and I don't know of any others that could do it, even the HVD. I think 5D-DVD has the "easiest" way to be compatible with standard DVDs, making that the most obvious choice.. We'll see..

As for the hard drives, I think MS will allow users to use their current hard drives on the next Xbox as well, and also let the next Xbox have an internal hard drive.. This will allow the old game data (like save files) and profile data to be transfered to the new console. The internal hard drive might have some amount of space not usable by the user but reserved for developers to use. 

This is all speculation and my opinion (and wishes..) and what I think MS should do. If you don't agree, fine, and you can argue against it, but, no need to be an ass in your argument. Play nice. (This is a disclaimer, just in case..)

Well thanks for making a long post because I really didn't bother reading your entire post. You see I never said that the Next XBox should not have a disc drive nor did I say MS shouln't use Blu Ray and nor did I say that MS will eventually use BLu Ray and hence this is a lie. My point is if they've said this, then they should stick to their words. Nobody knows what the future might hold but people should stick to their words.

And as for your first question I never heard of that claim myself so I can't really comment but I've heard other lies such as back at PS3 launch, Ken said "The PS3 is gonna make people work harder for them to buy the PS3." I laughed at that claim coz that's clearly not the majority case and hence it became a lie. And sure my example right now is not hardware related but if people say something that they're not gonna do but do in the end or visa versa then it's a lie and I'll laugh at them. Just like how I laughed at Peter Molyneux's claims back in Fable 1 days.

And no I'm not trying to argue against you or anything and I don't like to coz arguments go nowhere since I'm not gonna change your opinion nor are you gonna change my opinion through an argument. So yeah not trying to discourage you or anything but I'll keep MS' comment in mind for the future.

 

 

 

 



If online content is the future...then why'd they even bother with HD DVD? Jumping from one fail boat to another if you ask me



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archbrix said:
sully1311 said:
Blu-ray isn't the future.... because its the present.

True.  Maybe in the future, or perhaps FAR into the future, digital downloads for everything will be feasible.  In the meantime, have fun waiting over a day to download the new 50 gig HD game and filling up all those terabyte hard drives...

 

 

Damn right. It makes no sense to pay $60 for a game, then have to wait days to play it....when you can just go to WalMart or something and start playing in 5 minutes



@Cross-X: Only the first sentence was meant for you. The rest was just a general response to the whole thread =) Sorry if that wasn't clear. And yeah, PR talk should never be trusted..



Truth does not fear investigation

PC's don't need Blu-Ray drives. MS should work on a smarter install strategy than what they are using.



Yet, today, America's leaders are reenacting every folly that brought these great powers [Russia, Germany, and Japan] to ruin -- from arrogance and hubris, to assertions of global hegemony, to imperial overstretch, to trumpeting new 'crusades,' to handing out war guarantees to regions and countries where Americans have never fought before. We are piling up the kind of commitments that produced the greatest disasters of the twentieth century.
 — Pat Buchanan – A Republic, Not an Empire

I get 40Gb downloads per months for $50. So downloading God of War type games will cost me more than $50, just for the download costs, plus the cost of the game?

Ridiculous. We will see who is right, Nintendo or MS.



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.

CommonMan said:
nightsurge said:
Damnyouall said:
Welcome to the wonderful world of DRM and digital distribution, where you don't own the movies and games you purchased.

On topic: No physical media needed for distribution? Good luck with those 30-50 GB downloads of future games, of which a whole bunch will fit on those enormous internal hdds.

Please check up on what I posted earlier.  Games via DD would be much smaller file sizes.  For example, a 50GB Blu Ray game on DD would probably only be about 25GB and maybe even a lot less.  So much data is duplicated on discs to ensure they load and are accessible as quickly as possible.  They could easily take a game like FF13 on 360 and release it for DD at only 8GB or so since each disc is filled with duplicated data.

The PC equivalent to an HD console game is usually 10-15GB MAX and yet it still looks better and supports higher resolutions/audio formats.  I'd be perfectly fine buying a 250gb HDD and downloading those games.  My internet could do one game ever 2 hours or faster.


Good post nightsurge! My guess is this will either/or be ignored or trashed though.

i dont think that much is lost due to multiple spots of data, sure if its contiguous its faster but the disc drive should have no problem with it the shifting of the laser takes a fraction of a second, after ripping roms (for my own personal backup) you get an idea of how much space what takes up and where,and cgi and audio takes up probably 70% of the discs anyway, givin that multiple sets of the same data are on each disc id say a  DD version of this would be like 18-21gb. and even if it could fit on 8gb dd like nightwish thinks wouldnt they only used 2 (18gb) dvd instead of 3(27gb)