As I said in the Natal thread, if there's a highly appealing game and the overall cost is low enough, then yes. However, both those conditions are unlikely so even though I voted "wait and see" in that thread, I'm voting "no" on this.
(360 Arcade + Natal + game will probably be a good deal cheaper than PS3 + Eye + Wand(s) + game).
A game I'm developing with some friends:
www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm
It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.