long thread so not sure if I'm just repeating stuff but:

I reckon the Wii will continue to sell long after there is a Wii2/WiiHD etc and will eventually pass the ps2 sales especially considering the wii is only just over 3 years old and ps3 is coming upto its 10th birthday and that we aren't likely to see the next Nintendo console for at least a couple of years

I'm not saying there are going to have trouble getting to 100 million WW but what console in the history of gaming has sold 100 million more copies in the next two-three years. Its never been done before.

Maybe yes. Maybe no.

All I can say is that based upon the data from VGChartz, it is doubtful the PS3 will exceed 140M units.

Also, the Wii would have to sell -2.666M units over the next 10 months to reach the same level as the PS2 after four years. (In other words, the Wii is currently at 67.210M) while after four years the PS2 was at 64.544M).

And more importantly, the Wii is tracking about the same as the ... DS.

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS2&reg2=All&cons3=DS&reg3=All&weeks=208

This is starting to annoy me. Numerous people asked you this, but you never respond. So once again:

What makes you think the Wii will stop selling after 2-3 years, whereas the NES, SNES, PS1 and PS2 all sold millions after their successors were released?

85m by 2011, 100+m by 2012, likely 115m by 2013...if the Wii successor is not released before 2013 even more...and it will not stop selling. I think 130m LTD is quite sure. More is difficult to predict, we don't know what games will be released, if there will be a Wii Plus (like DSi) or if the successor launches soon (2011-2012).

And it's right to compare home console with handhelds, like this gen demonstrated just some handhelds sell great and the Wii started its life selling better than DS so I don't see why is not fair to compare PS2 to DS...

I had a PS2 and I've enjoy it, but it tends to break. Due to the price falling, it was better to buy a new one then getting the old one repaired.

Due to the low failure rate of nintendo consoles, Wii won't be able to catch PS2

so let me get this straight, you say the wii will be discontinued after 5 or 6 years bcause consoles do so, then come out saying ps2 will celebrate its thenth anniversary...

...

.....

somehow I don't get it

Snake, there's nothing wrong with having a prediction, but like Chrizum just said, you have to explain yourself a little better.

Even if one of us made a new thread saying the opposite of what you're claiming, we would still have to back ourselves up. 



For the record, one thing you clearly are overlooking, is the fact that the Wii is tracking higher than the PS2...meaning the Wii is selling faster.  If after 4 years the Wii has sold more systems than the PS2 did (and Nintendo is still struggling with demand), What makes you believe that its game over for Nintendo? How did the PS2 sell "over a 100 million" (note: The PS2 according to VGchartz has SOLD 130,429,735 worldwide)

The Wii is not going to stop selling after the next gen of consoles comes out.  Nintendo has shown it can sell other iterations of hardware side-by-side (NES in SNES days, GBC into GBA days, GBA into DS days...Nintendo killed off the Gamecube and N64 after their successors launched for other reasons...the systems were not selling, so no need to keep producing them)

If the Wii is tracking more than the PS2, and it will not stop selling (Nintendo will NOT cut off their most successful console ever. Seriously.  There's a really really good bet the Wii successor will be backwards compatible), then how can you assume what you're assuming?

I'm reading this thread just for the lulz.

Dammit! I'm just gonna have to admit after looking at the Wii's sales, the Will will surpass the PS2. I knew PS2 would be surpassed but I didn't think that it would take on gen for that to happen. Damn.....sighs..................this thread is a EPIC FAIL! I hate this.