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Forums - Sony Discussion - Will 2010 be PS3's "peak year"

 

Will 2010 be PS3's "peak year"

Yes 44 32.59%
 
No 69 51.11%
 
Not sure 22 16.30%
 
Total:135

there's not gonna be a peak year. it's gonna be constant climbing, every year will be up up up until the next gen comes out



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Whether you mean console sales or good games both are a NO.

2009 was its peak year for good games. 2010 will be amazing but not as good as 2009.

If you mean for console sales 2010 will be PS3's biggest year yet, but 2011 will be bigger because I'm predicting PS3 will have dropped to $249 or even $199.



Munkeh111 said:
Tridrakious said:
Munkeh111 said:
In terms of sales, yes, all year at $299 and with FF XIII and GT 5 coming, those should both push hardware, maybe up to 15m? In terms of games, they should keep on improving with time


I think PS3 will move more hardware in 2011 than 2010.

Opinions.

The main questions are:

1. What effect will Gem/Arc/Motion Controller have on sales

2. When will the PS3 drop to $250/$199

  • If it comes late this year, let's just assume at $249.99, then that would be a nice boost, but it would probably mean a whole year at that level would sell more
  • If it comes next year, as I expect, then it won't boost sales to 2010 levels, it will merely keep it nearly level

3. What effect games likes Agent, Versus XIII, Kingdom Hearts 3 and probably more have on hardware, I say not much

I don't think the Gem will have that much long term impact, certainly not enough to offset decline as the console ages. I think with a price cut in September 2011 to $199 will ensure sales, roughly level with 2009, but not 2010

If Sony does things right with Arc (bundles, correct price, not thrown together) then it will be a success and will help build the PS3 base past this year. Remember Sony is also looking into 3D gaming. Arc and 3D should go hand in hand.



if sony cuts the price again, then yes... and iÄd like to see a 199,- or 249,- PS3 at Christmas, but i think Sony isnt cutting anything this year. (they have enough 'buy it Arguments' right now because of the great Games coming.)

if there is a chance to see a cut next years Christmas Season, together with some 'OMG' Games (like FFvXIII, Killzne 3, LBP3) Sony could have its best year @ 2011. otherwise i have no idea which year could be .



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Crystalchild said:

if sony cuts the price again, then yes... and iÄd like to see a 199,- or 249,- PS3 at Christmas, but i think Sony isnt cutting anything this year. (they have enough 'buy it Arguments' right now because of the great Games coming.)

if there is a chance to see a cut next years Christmas Season, together with some 'OMG' Games (like FFvXIII, Killzne 3, LBP3) Sony could have its best year @ 2011. otherwise i have no idea which year could be .


If we don't see a price cut this year for the PS3, I think it's very possible we could see more packed in with the system (PlayStation Arc/PSEye) or we could see some price rebates at Best Buy, Target or Wal-mart similar to what the 360 had over the holiday season.

But personally I don't think Sony will let the momentum they gained over the last 7 months to go away easily. So I see Sony doing something this year to either make the $299 price point look even better or we will see a $25-$50 price cut around October or we could see Sony phase out the 120gb PS3 and replace it with the 250gb PS3 at $299 (with the Arc packed in).



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Well it all depends on the E3 in June, and on how many AAA exclusives impress or release.



2011 will probably be the peak



i will always stay cold

Majority vote is swinging in fover of No.

Glad i'm with the majority



i think each year the ps3 will have a healthy amount of games. IMO the ps3 has been a great gaming console since 2008, and then just kept on getting better.

no year will be its peak year unless the majority of sony's studios release their games in one year but that won't ever happen. However, each year there will be a few great exlusives and then some.



Tridrakious said:

I don't think the PS3's peak year is 2010. Personally 2011 is more likely.

My thoughts on this is based on the fact that the PS3 is just now performing like a PlayStation platform. Tons of games coming (a healthy amount of exclusives), great features and services and PlayStation Network expanding. So I feel that with this tremendous amount of momentum that has swung in the PS3's favor in the past 7 months it's "peak year" will be next year.

Even more games will likely be released next year. More features will release. More services. More importantly MORE GAMES.

2010 will be fantastic for the platform, but it's not the "peak year". Way to much potential left in the system.

I think 2009 and 2010 are just a the warm up. Next year should be the beginning of the peak. As I have said time and time again, its the SNES all over again and I wouldn't be surprised if this generation ended wtihout the full power of the PS3 being exploited. I expect that around 2011 we will start to see some evolution in gaming due to the PS3's power.

The Wii's motion controls are dated and I don't feel they are the end all in what motion tech can do, but Sony's Arc seems promising. If M$ doesn't work on a system with a better storange medium it will either 1) gimp games that are cross platform, or 2) the quality of content between the two platforms will see a greater gap with Sony being in clear dominance.

Things to pay attention to:

1) Cryotech and whether or not they have truly discovered the FSAA capabilities on the PS3. If they have and it works and works well it may shift developer priorities.

2) FFXIII Versus and whether or not not they have truly produced in game rendered graphics that are hard to distinguish from FMV. That will also grab developers attention.

3) No doubt both Natal and Arc come with their flaws, Natal having no interface could prove to be difficult to develop for and truly create a motion experience closer to what the standard should be. Likewise Arc suffers due to it requiring an interface not all that disimilar from the Wii. If Arc proves to only be marginally better than the Wii, then expect there to be indifference toward the motion sensing market on Sony. If M$ Natal is cleverly developed for and the first condition is fail, then expect attention to be turned toward M$. The Wii should remain dominant for at least 2 more years.

Those three things shifting in Sony's favor will give them a great advantage over the other two consol makers and will greatly move systems. What we saw last year was that Sony is capable of being the gameplay king, with Demon Souls and Uncharted 2. Whether those games are overrated in some circles doesn't matter. What is undeniable is that developers have found a great deal of power in  system everyone thought couldn't hack it. If Sony continues to develop incredible 1st party games, expect 3rd parties to slide some chips toward Sony's console.



-- Nothing is nicer than seeing your PS3 on an HDTV through an HDMI cable for the first time.