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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will wii outsell the PS2? If yes when?

 

Will wii outsell the PS2? If yes when?

yes 83 38.07%
 
no 63 28.90%
 
not sure 23 10.55%
 
I don't want it to :( 31 14.22%
 
I want it to :) 18 8.26%
 
Total:218
johnsobas on 07 February 2010
killeryoshis said:
johnsobas said:
Maneco said:

Looking at the charts, Wii has outsold the PS2 since the beginning, but I'm uncertain whether it'll pass it or not. First, because I don't think the Wii will have the same lifespan the PS2 had; second, PS2 is still selling around the world, while Wii may be left aside when its successor comes.


remember, the ps2 was in japan only for about a year.  The comparison is unfair, but even with a fair comparison the wii is still ahead.


well wii is selling faster than the DS and that had a 3 month diffrence in its releases. December for Japan and March for the west

that's fine but it has yet to be seen if it will follow that pattern.  The comparison with align launches is still unfair



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

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killeryoshis on 07 February 2010
johnsobas said:
killeryoshis said:
johnsobas said:
Maneco said:

Looking at the charts, Wii has outsold the PS2 since the beginning, but I'm uncertain whether it'll pass it or not. First, because I don't think the Wii will have the same lifespan the PS2 had; second, PS2 is still selling around the world, while Wii may be left aside when its successor comes.


remember, the ps2 was in japan only for about a year.  The comparison is unfair, but even with a fair comparison the wii is still ahead.


well wii is selling faster than the DS and that had a 3 month diffrence in its releases. December for Japan and March for the west

that's fine but it has yet to be seen if it will follow that pattern.  The comparison with align launches is still unfair


Well wii is ahead in America by 7 million
in Japan its behind by 4 million I beleive
3 million ahead in others.
I'm guessing the gap is still growing though

Though allign launches its ahead by 7 million



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johnsobas on 07 February 2010
killeryoshis said:
johnsobas said:
killeryoshis said:
johnsobas said:
Maneco said:

Looking at the charts, Wii has outsold the PS2 since the beginning, but I'm uncertain whether it'll pass it or not. First, because I don't think the Wii will have the same lifespan the PS2 had; second, PS2 is still selling around the world, while Wii may be left aside when its successor comes.


remember, the ps2 was in japan only for about a year.  The comparison is unfair, but even with a fair comparison the wii is still ahead.


well wii is selling faster than the DS and that had a 3 month diffrence in its releases. December for Japan and March for the west

that's fine but it has yet to be seen if it will follow that pattern.  The comparison with align launches is still unfair


Well wii is ahead in America by 7 million
in Japan its behind by 4 million I beleive
3 million ahead in others.
I'm guessing the gap is still growing though

Though allign launches its ahead by 7 million

i already said it was ahead with a fair comparison...



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

Sephiroth357 on 07 February 2010

Nah. It will fall short.




Chairman-Mao on 07 February 2010

No because the New Wii will be out in 2011 or 2012 and by then the Wii will only be at ~100 million. And If I'm right then there's no way the Wii sells 40 million units after the Wii 2 has been released.



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Siko1989 on 07 February 2010

if you compare ps2 and wii sales of 3 years of its release the wii is winning roughly around 10 million




Moren on 07 February 2010

It looks unlikely, the wii is outdated, and people will eventually lose interest (unless wand flops)



johnsobas on 07 February 2010
Chairman-Mao said:
No because the New Wii will be out in 2011 or 2012 and by then the Wii will only be at ~100 million. And If I'm right then there's no way the Wii sells 40 million units after the Wii 2 has been released.

if it is released in 2011 it ill be around 100 million yeah.  In 2012 it ill be more like 115 million.  That will be one of the deciding factors. 



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

Ninten78 on 07 February 2010
killeryoshis said:

I've been saying this a couple of times. But I say yes. It will do it between  2012-2013

Who here thinks the same way! and who doesn't?

Also my predictions

end of 2010 - 85 million (+20 million)
end of 2011 -105 million ( +20 million)
end of 2012(wii 2 comes out in november)- 122 million(+17 million)
end of 2013 - 136 million ( +14 million) 
end of 2014 - 143 million (+7 million)
end of 2015 - 146 million (+3 million)



Though if wii 2 comes out in 2011. It won't do it. If nintendo keeps releaseing a new system every 5 years. It will come 2011
But if nintendo pulls a NES and make it a 6 year gap like NES ->SNES It'll do well. Also getting release dates for America not Japan


Yes,I believe it will.I agree with you.I think late Q4 2012 early 2013.

Just look at my sig!



peachbuggy on 07 February 2010

I voted not sure because this is such a tough question to answer. First of all the PS2 is a "moving target". Secondly the Wii may start to get to saturation point at about 100m. The PS2 may have sold more due to some people buying multiple consoles to replace breakdowns etc. Also there's the fact that the market is so different now. Particularly with the Wii's new market. Then there is the factor of the developing markets. If the Wii can really "tap into" the potentially huge markets of Russia, China and India in the future then i say it can do it.



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