many people said DVD would fail too. but the studios chose it and it became the stadard by force through time.
cant remember how many times movies began to appear on DVD and not VHS because of the studios choosing to go with DVD. people were pissed but eventually they bought a DVD player when they could.
But see, moving from VHS to DVD could make sense for everybody that simply owned a TV. From what I remember, DVD's weren't more expensive (the players were but they went down quickly), the DVD itself was more durable and lasted longer, and it was far more convenient than VHS.
The HD format movies only offer better looking movies which even if most people could actually tell a difference they don't have the TV's to support it anyways and increased space which doesn't affect movies much other than TV series.
I'm not saying the next gen format will fail, just saying it's going to be an incredibly long and hard road to overtake DVD's or even put any kind of dent in them.
Also, for everything new there are always going to be hoards of people yelling it's going to fail.
If you have a HDTV and cannot tell the difference b/w a DVD and a Blu-ray disc, then you wasted your money or more likely you do not actually own an HDTV.
I've said it before, HD acceptance into the market is faster growing than ANY other format change EVER. It took longer for people to buy TV's instead of listening to the radio, longer for those same people to finally get color TVs, again longer than some people started watching 8mm, longer they finally got VCRs, and a HELL of alot longer than it took DVD to take over. Anyone who doesn't know this is too damn young to talk about the difference between VHS-->DVD vs. DVD-->BD. It took 11 months for the first DVD to sell 100,000 copies, it was Air Force One, and as of March 18, 2007, only 8 mos since inception, we already have more than 844k total BDs sold, source http://www.highdefdigest.com/news/show/564
"Among the numbers revealed: as of March 18, VideoScan(nielsen) put the cumulative number of Blu-ray titles sold since the format's inception at 844,000 units"