If the rest of the game maintains the quality of the first three hours, I truly think it’s possible GoW can sell as much as 15 mill LT. It sounds crazy, but there are several reasons why I believe this:
1. Ps4 has proven to be a powerhouse for software, and that actually includes its exclusives as well. The great majority of ps4 exclusives find success.
2. There have been numerous times people have doubted that a ps4 exclusive could sell as much as it did. The best and most recent examples are Uncharted 4 and Horizon ZD. Nearly everyone thought 10 mill was impossible for U4, but it’ll probably end up with around 12 mill LT at this point (and this is compared to around 6 million sales for U2/3 on ps3). Same thing for Horizon: a very select few agreed that HZD had the potential to sell 8 mill LT. Most thought it was asinine, and there were people laughing at and mocking the notion. Yet, it nearly did 8 mill in its first year. As a new IP.
3. Past Mainline GoW games sold well (GoW 3 likely between 5 and 6 mill), and this was against a lot of odds:
—A. A large audience of people was neglected due to the excessive—and to many, distasteful—violence, the nudity/sex scenes, and the frustratingly one-note nature of Kratos. These things significantly inhibited it’s ability to have mainstream appeal and success (yet it STILL sold really well). The new GoW, however, has seemed to address/improve these things (not sure about the nudity). I’ve seen numerous people say this will be their first GoW game. I’ve never bought a GoW game, but I actually have this one preordered.
—B. This might be controversial, but I feel as though GoW 3’s combat/playstyle was somewhat outdated (namely the camera) at the time when it released. The new GoW is fresh and current.
—C. God of War was only a truly strong seller in North America, and that was despite PS3 selling fairly weakly there. PS4, however, has turned things around significantly in North America.
—D. In the same vein, God of War never sold gangbuster numbers in Europe (VGC has GoW 3 at 1.35 mill); however, I think the new GoW will be much more attractive to Europeans (and the rest of the world, for that matter) due to the changes that have been made. I don’t have much to back this up, but there is just generally a much broader appeal for this game than past entries (see point A). Weak example, but I listened to two Brits talk about their experience with the 3 hr preview, and they seemed as—if not even more—excited than the other the people I heard talk about it.
4. One of the most important factors: The previews for the first 3 hours have been universally positive. I don’t think I heard a single negative or complaint mentioned from any of the previewers. I can’t think of another game that received that much praise from previews other than Zelda and possibly Mario.
5. This will be a moot point to some people, but it’s selling well on Amazon. I followed HZD on Amazon about a month before release. Seeing how well it was doing in the top 100, even weeks from release, made me believe it was gonna be big (and it was). Well, GoW is doing better than HZD did. Horizon was #31 in January 2017, and it did not show up in the Dec or Nov 2016 top 100s (tho, that was tougher competition). GoW is so far at #14 and #48 for March with a day left; was #33 in February; and was #42 and #48 in January. And currently GoW has moved down to #9 on the hourlies—3wks from release. (EDIT: it’s also #11, #33, #36, and #38 for Gamestop. Not sure which list is right for Best Buy) GoW does have a bit of an advantage in that it got a boost from the release date announcement a couple months ago.
6. The reviews are phenomenally good, making it the best scoring non-remake/remaster of the entire PS4/XBO gen.Last edited by pitzy272 - on 17 April 2018