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Gears will be the best selling game of the winter season, but wont outsell Halo and wont push the 360 past 3rd place anywhere but US and UK.

For 6 months I gotta say your numbers are believable. Microsoft only has one mainstream exclusive this winter as of now, and Gears 2 is possibly the most marketable game of all time (even more than Halo)

Seriously, that Gears commercial is STILL my favorite gaming commercial of all time. If they can top that, hell, who knows what can happen. But Sony will definitely be contesting every commercial with LBP, Resistance 2, and Killzone 2 commercials especially in December. This holiday season will be amazing.