HappySqurriel on 13 March 2007
Christopher_G2 said:
I really don't see how March is that significant. Holiday season this year will be the true test. Can the Wii survive the onslaught of Halo 3 and GTA IV. In my opinion not only will it survive but it will end on top. It's too gift friendly of a system. What will the gap be between 360 and PS3 sales. There's almost no doubt to me that the 360 will still be selling better but Sony needs to keep it fairly close. I actually don't believe the 360 will ever blow away the PS3 in monthly sales, and if the PS3 can sell within 20% this holidays they'll be fine. The best days for the PS3 won't be for a few years, but they can't let the 360 run away with it.
I could be wrong, but I anticipate that at Christmas the Wii will be $200 (possibly with an aditional game bundled), the 360 will have a viable system at $300 and the PS3 will be $400; this will result in the Wii being a highly affordable "family" gift in most households, the XBox 360 will sell pretty well to houses which have gamers in it, and the PS3 will do alright in houses with gamers and High Definition set-ups.
The Wii will come in first, XBox 360 second and the PS3 will come in third; the important question is how large of a margine will there be? Depending on game releases I could see either a really narrow margin (if the Wii has major games delayed and the XBox 360/PS3 get all of their games) or a very wide margin (if the Wii gets all of its games released and the XBox 360/PS3 have major games delayed).
