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If Wii got KH3 exclusive, it would almost equalize the FFXIII bombshell -- it would be a big enough surprise to basically give Nintendo a clean slate (and then I'd trust that Nintendo would clean up with its 1st party games).

Short of this, I don't think any Nintendo announcements will be able to match FF for sheer surprise. Any major 1st party revelations (like Zelda) would be exciting, but basically expected -- that's what Nintendo does.

I think MS has an almost 1-punch KO here, even if Sony or Nintendo have more overall quality to their announcements. FF is what we'll be talking about a month from now.