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joseph21 said:
wii will not get the 70% marketshare.
wii will never get all the exclusives like sony did.

there is not going to be a ps2 this generation.

I don't know about that.  If 70% market share is the epitome of PS2, the Wii may not quite make it.  But I do expect the Wii to make 60-65% at some point in this generation.  You have to realize the Wii has been this successful with relatively few quality third party offerings.  Especially compared to what has been released on the 360/PS3.  If Nintendo starts getting quality third party support, the market could snowball for the Wii.  And if you do exclude the 360's headstart, the Wii has easily sold >50% of the consoles on the market.  And as the generation wears on, you'll likely see a bigger change to the market leader as people don't see the value in buying dying soon to be replaced consoles (like the xbox and gamecube at the end of their lives).