| obieslut said: yey im on crack i need my fix, but serious though, the data clearly indicates that the ps3 will sell about 3 mill in December in others alone |
Actually all the data indicates is that if you can screw around with numbers you can make them say anything. That was one of the most pathetic statistical analysis' I have ever seen. For one thing you ignore all confounding variables entirely, you ignore factors such as supply, cost and target markets for example which have a huge effect on console sales. Not only that but you also take only one sample to base this on, one sample is utterly ridiculous.
You can claim that the PS3 will sell more than 3M in others in Dec 2008 but you honestly can't seriously claim that the data you are showing supports it.
Perhaps if you took samples of data from multiple consoles showing the relationship between first year sales until July and their corresponding holiday sales. If you found there was a significant correlation between the two then perhaps you could use that data to make an estimate of PS3 sales, then perhaps I would take you seriously.
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