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Wman1996 said:

Assuming Iran abides by this deal (and the USA and others do too), they look stupid yet again not developing nuclear weapons.
Prior to the recent attacks from Israel and the USA, I understand why Iran didn't develop nukes. But after all that's happened recently and the USA going back on the Iran Deal in 2018 Iran leaves itself open to attacks.
Why hasn't the US attacked North Korea, for instance? That's right, North Korea has nukes. Same with China and Russia.
Iran held up its end of the Iran Deal, and the USA withdrew from it. Iran still made no nukes and got attacked anyway, including over 2,000 civilians.
I want this agreement to lead to peace and stop the bloodshed, but I am very skeptical given history.

Iran has much better things than nukes, they can shut down the gulf states any time. That's the threat that has Trump capitulate now, he can not protect the oil states the world runs on. All Iran has to do is knock out the power in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and mess up Saudia Arabia's ports. 

Iran has the popular support, nukes aren't popular. Iran can get everything they want with their missiles and drones, precision attacks on infrastructure. Over 3,000 deaths in Iran only further erode support for USIsrael, while Iran has done much more damage economically without targeting civilians.

Iran has no issues abiding by this deal, it's Israel that has 'issues'. 

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/17/death-toll-in-gaza-since-ceasefire-with-israel-goes-past-1000
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/17/israeli-air-strikes-on-lebanon-continue-threatening-us-iran-deal

There is no ceasefire when Israel is involved. As long as Trump can't restrain Netanyahu, this is all just show. Tiring good cop / bad cop nonsense. Except with trump and netanyahu it's mush brain idiot vs can't stop making more wars.