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curl-6 said:

How do you estimate the Xbox One would have fared if they hadn't fumbled so disastrously out of the gate, and instead:

- It was $400 from the get go

- It was on par with PS4 in performance

- No bundled Kinect

- No "always online/no used games/TV TV TV" nonsense

What are your thoughts?

Probably only slightly behind the PS4.
It would likely have been akin to the Xbox360/PS3 gen..... maybe a slightly bigger gap than that though, in favor of the PS4.
However it would have done much better than it ended up doing.