Dogs Rule said:
Weather forecasts are not the same as climate projections. Here is an analogy I believe to be valid: I can tell you with near absolute certainty that the Dow Jones Industrial average will be higher in 15-20 years then it is today. I could then say that I expect friday's trading session to close 150 points higher then thursday's closing bell (wouldn't it be cool if I got it right on the nose?). If I am wrong and the DJIA is down instead of up on friday's trading, does that invalidate my 15-20 year projection? No. |
Yes, but we have data that covers the entire existance of the Dow Jones that backs up your statement. On the other hand, we have a very small sampling of temperature data compared to the length of time the earth has been around, and even our best computer models can't really take into account the rediculously large amount of variables in the earth's climate. We could very well be warmer, or we could spiral into an ice age by 2050. Both are possible depending on the cycles of our Sun. The fact that they predict this with such certainty due to ONE factor out of the countless factors that actually influence global temperatures is comical. I'm not saying they're 100% wrong, just that their certianty of their own brilliance is arrogant.
For example, this was not in their predictions, so they have chosen to ignore it. From Jan 07 to Jan 08, The globe experienced the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, but it was ignored completely by the mainstream media because it was a COOLING trend. Had this trend been warming, it would have been on every front page. Why?
