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General - Global warming? - View Post

Timmah! said:
This is what I'm freaking talking about, these idiots can't even get the forecast right 10 days out (I checked the weather channel's 10 day forecast for my area, almost every day's forecasted temp and precipitation had changed since yesterday), yet they expect me to believe they can forecast the temperatures for 2050??? Give me a break. Enough with the drama already.

http://www.weather.com/multimedia/videoplayer.html?clip=11332&from=hp_video_5

Weather forecasts are not the same as climate projections. Here is an analogy I believe to be valid: I can tell you with near absolute certainty that the Dow Jones Industrial average will be higher in 15-20 years then it is today. I could then say that I expect friday's trading session to close 150 points higher then thursday's closing bell (wouldn't it be cool if I got it right on the nose?). If I am wrong and the DJIA is down instead of up on friday's trading, does that invalidate my 15-20 year projection? No.