Cerebralbore101 said:
Sony should have seen more growth this generation. XB1 was 58 million units lifetime. PS4 was 117 million units lifetime. Xbox Series is unlikely to sell more than 36 million units lifetime. Even if PS5 somehow manages to sell 117 million units (it won't), this leaves a gap of 22 million units from last gen to this gen. Some people always owned two consoles and just went down to a PS5 for this gen, but that can't account for all 22 million losses. The release of PS5 games onto PC is causing former Xbox users to go with PC instead of a PS5. It's also causing PS4 owners to go with a PC instead of a PS5. Nintendo is the only company that even tries to play the traditional console strategy of exclusives and fair console prices anymore and they've sold 150 million Switches. Edit: Just to point this out further. 360 and PS3 sold a combined 173 million units. PS4 and XB1 sold a combined 175 million units. This is because PS4 managed to capture most of the marketshare from Xbox and a little from the Wii U's failure. Anyway even with the Switch's success the PS5 should have gotten 10-15 million more units sold from Xbox customers leaving Xbox and going to PS5. But they didn't. They went to PC. And assuming PS5 ends at 105 million units that would be something like 18-25 million units in growth that PS5 failed to get from the collapse of Xbox. DoubleEdit: Mistakes made in one generation often take until the following generation to completely show up in sales losses. So I expect the PS6 to sell less than the PS3. |
PS5 is guaranteed to beat PS4 lifetime. It should end up selling over 130 million units. And it doesn't need to make up for lost Xbox sales. By that logic Switch not coming close to selling even half as many units as Wii, DS, and PSP combined should be seen as a huge failure, and Switch 2 not keeping up with Switch would be another failure. Looking at hardware sales alone without examining the other aspects is not the way to do it.
PS4 sold more traditional software than X360 and PS3 combined. To top it off, it generated obscene amounts of money from f2p and services. The PS5 in turn will beat PS4 in most revelant metrics: Revenue, player engagement, hardware sales, software, f2p, services, profitability, you name it.
PS6 is where things may become challenging. But there too things aren't looking as grim as I initially expected. The RAM crisis will inflate PC prices much more than conole prices. And rumors have it that Sony is looking to stop supporting PC with their best selling singleplayer games. Furthermore, they're expected to launch a portable SKU that will put PC handhelds to shame, which could soften the drop from the PS5 gen.
Edit: No offense but your assumption of PS5 selling 105 million lifetime is hilarious. It should top that by the year's end as it's already shipped 92.2 million. You guys complain nonstop about people underestimating or concern trolling Nintendo consoles, then proceed to make the most absurd predictions imaginable.
Last edited by Kyuu - 1 day ago
