| curl-6 said: Switch 2 should win as it will likely lead in North America and Japan, provided there is sufficient stock. |
Though Switch 2 isn't following the same sales pattern as most launches, because unlike most recent devices its stock has been plentiful. So it's sales haven't been limited and it's been through the roof. Normally a launch year console wouldn't stand a chance but things are very different in the Switch 2's case. That it's sold over 8m in it's first 3 months and I can still go to amazon and get one delivered tomorrow is unheard of in recent times.
It also likely means it's growth YoY is likely to be less in the future. As in, the Switch 1's peak year was well over double it's launch year sales. I don't see Switch 2's peak matching that proportional growth because Switch 2's first year is so strong. So Switch 2 as a new console isn't going to be as far from it's prime as launch systems typically are.
So I'm unsure of Switch 2 vs PS5 this holiday. Because indications are that Nintendo are keeping up with demand just fine so it should be big. But also PS5 has had very strong holiday performances recently, compared to the PS4 it's generally done worse in the earlier parts of the year but better in the holidays. So if the PS5 has good promotions it can sell a lot of units. Though Nintendo also usually gets a bigger December boost than other consoles. Could easily be BF win for PS5 but an overall holiday season win for Switch 2.
I'm still undecided in this battle.







