Never expected a world where JD Vance would refer to Niall Ferguson’s arguments that dictators shouldn’t invade sovereign states as ‘moralistic garbage’.
— Ben Ansell (@benansell.bsky.social) 20 February 2025 at 16:17
Realistically if the USA security guarantee is gone, Europe (including the UK) is looking at something like 3-3.5% or so of GDP as regular defence spending. And very probably another 1-1.5% or so as additional defence capital spending for a good 5-10 years on top of that.
— Duncan Weldon (@duncanweldon.bsky.social) 20 February 2025 at 17:41
Short term: a lot of the additional capital spend is realistically going to be on US imports. Medium term: there’s going to have to be a concentrated effort to build up more European capacity.
— Duncan Weldon (@duncanweldon.bsky.social) 20 February 2025 at 17:50
A second source close to Trump concurred with the assessment and suggested that "the best case for [Zelensky] and the world is that he leaves to France immediately."
Putin last year: US to put up with Zelensky until spring of 2025, but then will replace him, says Putin - Russian Politics & Diplomacy - TASS
The United States will put up with Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky until the spring of 2025, but then he will be replaced, Russian President Vladimir Putin said at a meeting with the heads of international news agencies, which was organized by TASS.
