Decent chance if you count both gens of MK8. MK8D only though not even close. MK9 will be out soon and new Switch 1 sales will plummet. Everyone is going to be getting MK9.
MK8D will easily pass 70m, but it isn't coming close to 80m, let alone 82m.
It has potential to touch 75m though honestly I think that's probably unlikely, but if it did it would put the combined MK8 sales just over Wii Sports. Not sure how well MK8D will sell come summer once MK9 and a new system are out, and I would expect a massive YoY drop for it next holiday season. This past quarter was MK8D's final quarter to sell a bunch (which it totally did!).