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Kyuu on 27 January 2025
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Sephiran said:
Kyuu said:

You don't think GTA6 will impact sales at all?

Sony president Totoki stated last year that PS5 have hit peak sales and will continue to decline year on year in the future, its almost impossible to reverse a decline in console sales, because those are dependant on the console life cycle, not even the Switch with its great legs managed to reverse a decline in Switch sales, so that won't happen for PS5 and Xbox series X/S either. The only thing GTA6 could do is to make the decline less than it otherwise would have been, but it won't lead to either of those consoles selling more than they did during their peak.

Past trends are irrelevant. Past consoles received multiple pricesdrops while the PS5 and Xbox Series XS didn't in 4 years and counting (instead they got price hikes). Certain hypothetical scenarios may lead to temporary declines that can theoretically be reversed later.

What Totoki said implies they have no plans to do any significant pricedrops anytime soon, and perhaps he overestimated Xbox's competitive ability and is underestimating GTA6's demand, and maybe they plan to accelerate their PC support and thus weaken their hardware even further. It can be interpreted in a thousand ways.

PS5 with little competition from Xbox, a permanent pricedrop in the first half of the year, and GTA6 would 100% reverse the decline. And since Xbox sold extremely poorly last year, it's possible that both can reverse it if Microsoft decides to ship enough consoles (MS ignoring GTA6 would feed into PS5 selling even more). Nothing comparable to GTA6 ever released before. Every generation has its unique trends and changes that override past trends.