Switch 2 Sales Predictions: Next PS2 or Wii U Disaster?

[Sephiran]

Impossible for it to reach Wii U sales numbers for several reasons.

Unlike Wii U that co existed with the 3DS, Switch 2 will be a unified system and the only platform that gets the newest Nintendo games. It also means that mainline Pokemon, Zelda, 3D Mario, Mario Kart, Smash etc comes only to Switch 2, these are all popular franchises that can drive console sales.

I expect the Switch 2 to be priced to be fairly competitive and not too steep.

Nintendo now has a stronger position in the Japanese market than almost ever before, with tons of franchises that are particularly popular in Japan. So the Japanese market alone will be enough to see Switch 2 sell far more than Wii U WW total sales.

Third party support for the Switch 2 will probably be at a higher level year 1 than third party support was for the Switch back in 2017, and the better third party support a platform has, the more appealing the platform becomes for wider demographics of players.

I think all things considered, the Switch 2 has fairly good chance to reach 100 million sales, but hard to say how close it can get to Switch 1 sales in the end.