Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 40 million?

[Esparadrapo]

curl-6 said:

VGChartz numbers have Xbox down 48% in the Americas for December:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/463758/ps5-best-seller-xs-sales-drop-48-yoy-americas-hardware-estimates-for-december-2024/

~50% on its biggest month in its biggest market is honestly mind boggling. I've been saying that the trend is -30% yearly for a while and this seems to be in line with it. If Series finally does 5 million in 2024 it's on course to miss the 40 million mark.

5 * 0.7 = 3.5 million in 2025

3.5 * 0.7 = 2.45 million in 2026

2.45 * 0.7 = 1.71 million in 2027

3.5 + 2.45 + 1.71 = 7.66 million + LTD 32.2 = 39.86 million

And that's not taking into account any additional decline due to the aging platform.